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July 16, 2018

Dems Lead US Senate/Gov races in TN

If the new numbers from Emerson College are to be believed, Tennessee will be going blue in November in the US Senate and Gubernatorial races.

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (Emerson)
Phil Bredesen (D) 43%
Marsha Blackburn (R) 37%

GOVERNOR – TENNESSEE (Emerson)
Karl Dean (D) 39%
Diane Black (R) 35%

Karl Dean (D) 36%
Randy Boyd (R) 34%

This poll was done July 11-14 among 657 likely voters.

July 8, 2018

Open Thread Sunday!

Here ya go!

June 26, 2018

Election Day Thread- Maryland

It is election night here in my home state of Maryland. The biggest item to come out of tonight is who will take on Larry Hogan in November for Governor. Polls close at 8pm.

June 15, 2018

Another Poll Shows Hogan Leads Dems By Double Digits in MD

Early voting started yesterday here in Maryland and there was another gubernatorial poll earlier this week showing Hogan with double-digit leads over the top Democrats according to a new poll from Gonzales Research.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Gonzales)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 48%
Rushern Baker (D) 37%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 52%
Ben Jealous (D) 34%

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND – DEM PRIMARY (Gonzales)
Rushern Baker 25%
Ben Jealous 23%
Rich Madaleno 9%
Valerie Ervin 7%
Jim Shea 6%
Krish Vignarajah5%
Alec Ross 2%

This poll was done June 4-10. it’s worth noting even with these numbers, in 2014 Gonzales’ final poll in that race showed Hogan losing by 2% when Hogan ended up winning by 4%. This was at the same time (over the same time period) another pollster had Hogan ahead by 5%.

The other thing worth noting, the last time Maryland had an incumbent Republican Governor running for re-election in 2006, the Democratic candidate Martin O’Malley already had a lead in the polls in the high-single to low-double digits by roughly the same time of the election calendar. The fact that the Democrats are still trailing Hogan by double digits this late in the game is great news for Larry Hogan if history is prologue.

June 10, 2018

Baker/Jealous Tied in MD

The Baltimore Sun and Opinion Works have released a primary poll for Maryland showing the same top two candidate in the Democratic field as The Washington Post showed last week.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND – DEM PRIMARY (BaSu/Opinion Works)
Ben Jealous 16%
Rushern Baker 16%
Valerie Ervin 5%
Rich Madaleno 4%
Jim Shea 4%
Krish Vignarajah 4%
Alec Ross 1%

This poll was done May 29-June 6 among 500 likely primary voters. There was not General Election numbers released in this article, not sure if they were done this time around. But the fascinating question in this poll indicated only 57% of Democratic primary voters (which in Maryland are strictly Democrats as the primaries are closed) will vote for the Democrat in November with 24% saying they will vote for Republican Larry Hogan.

June 5, 2018

Hogan Leads All Dems By Double Digits in MD

Hello out there – sorry Capitals Stanley Cup Fever has been quite a nice respite from politics of late. But there is no better time to jump right back in with a new poll from The Washington Post and The University of Maryland for my home state of Maryland in advance of our state’s primary election in about three weeks.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (WaPo/UMD)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 50%
Rich Madaleno (D) 40%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 51%
Rushern Baker (D) 39%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 51%
Ben Jealous (D) 39%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 51%
Valerie Ervin (D) 38%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 53%
Jim Shea (D) 35%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 54%
Krish Vignarajah (D) 35%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 55%
Alec Ross (D) 31%

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND – DEM PRIMARY (WaPo/UMD)
Ben Jealous 21%
Rushern Baker 16%
Vlaerie Ervin 8%
Rich Madaleno 6%
Jim Shea 4%
Krish Vignarajah 4%
Alec Ross 2%

This poll was done May 29-June 3 among 968 registered General Election voters and 532 likely primary voters.

There is supposed to be at least one other poll from Gonzales Research hitting the street pretty soon that I am aware of, not sure if they already started it or it is about to start.

May 23, 2018

Open Thread Wednesday!

So you all want an Open Thread? Here’s one….

May 10, 2018

Scott Leads Nelson By 4% in FL

He wasn’t quite the front runner in the Democratic primary in Maryland for the right to take on Larry Hogan, but Baltimore County Executive Kevin Kamenetz was in the top three and his death overnight will change the course of that race.

Meanwhile in Florida, a new poll from Florida Atlantic University shows Rick Scott holding a 4% lead over sitting Senator Bill nelson, although that is down from the previous poll FAU took.

US SENATE – FLORIDA (FAU)
Rick Scott (R) 445
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 405

This poll was done May 4-7 among 1000 registered voters.

May 7, 2018

Blankenship Leads in Two Internal WV Primary Polls

Republicans in West Virginia might be on the verge of nominating an outright racist as their nominee if the polls reported in this article by The Weekly Standard are to be believed.

The results of an internal campaign poll conducted for one rival Senate campaign on Saturday and Sunday were: Blankenship 31 percent, Jenkins 28 percent, Morrissey 27 percent.

The results of another internal poll conducted Friday and Saturday were: Blankenship 28 percent, Morrissey 27 percent, Jenkins 14 percent. Two weeks earlier, the same rival campaign found Blankenship at 14 percent, Morrissey at 29 percent, and Jenkins at 26 percent.

I did like this quote at the end of the article which basically sums up the Republican Party across the nation these days:

If Blankenship manages to win despite Trump’s opposition, it will be a strong data point for Kentucky congressman Thomas Massie’s theory that many Republican primary voters are simply “voting for the craziest son of a bitch in the race.”

If there is any wonder why my interest in national politics and even posting on this website was waned so much, it is the complete an utter disappearance of sanity in the Republican Party that plays a big part of it. Sadly a majority of Republican primary voters, not just in West Virginia, but everywhere seem to agree with this sentiment…the crazier the better….

May 1, 2018

Sanders Leads Biden in NH

The 2020 primary election in New Hampshire is a mere 21 months away and right now, Bernie Sanders has overtaken Joe Biden to see who gets to take on (presumably) Donald Trump according to a new poll from the University of New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (UNH)
Bernie Sanders 28%
Joe Biden 26%
Elizabeth Warren 11%
Kamala Harris 6%
Cory Booker 5%
Joseph Kennedy 3%
Martin O’Malley 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%

They also released a simple head-to-head matchup in a potential Republican primary between Donald Trump and John Kasich.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIAMRY (UNH)
Donald Trump (inc) 67%
John Kasich 19%

This poll was done April 13-22 among likely primary voters in each party.

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