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April 15, 2019

Sanders Leads Biden By 5% Nationally

Most national polls seem to agree with other that Joe Biden holds a lead over Bernie Sanders, but it appears Emerson College sees a different Democratic electorate and has Sanders with a 5% lead over Biden.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Bernie Sanders 29%
Joe Biden 24%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Bet O’Rourke 8%
Kamala Harris 8%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Julian Castro 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Cory Booker 2%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
John Delaney 1%
Jay Inslee 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Kirsten Gllibrand 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Kamala Harris (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Pete Bbuttigieg (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%

This poll was done April 11-14 among 914 registered voters.

April 11, 2019

Buttigieg hits 3rd Place in IA and NH

We have a new poll from Saint Anselm College for the state of New Hampshire that shows Pete Buttigieg moving into third place among Democrats.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Saint Anselm)
Joe Biden 23%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Elizabeth Warren 9%
Kamala Harris 7%
Beto O’Rourke 6%
Cory Booker 4%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
John Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Jay Inslee 0%

This poll was done April 3-8 among 698 registered primary voters. Meanwhile in Iowa, Monmouth University shows Buttigieg hitting there as well.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 27%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Kamala Harris 7%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Beto O’Rourke 6%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Julián Castro 2%
John Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Steve Bullock <1%
Bill de Blasio <1%
Tulsi Gabbard <1%
Jay Inslee <1%
Michael Bennet 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Terry McAuliffe 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%

Do they actually read off everyone of those names in each poll? This poll was done April 4-9 among 351 likely caucus goers.

April 7, 2019

Warren Only in 3rd Place Among Dems in MA

Democrats should have no problem retaining the state of Massachusetts at the presidential level according to a new poll from Emerson College.

PRESIDENT – MASSACHUSETTS (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 69%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 31%

Bernie Sanders (D) 64%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 36%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 63%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 37%

PRESIDENT – MASSACHUSETTS – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Bernie Sanders 26%
Joe Biden 23%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Beto O’Rourke 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Julian Castro 1%
John Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
Jay Inslee 0%

This poll was done April 4-7 among 761 registered voters.

April 1, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 13% Nationally

Public Policy Polling has come out with a new national poll showing all the Democrats tested ahead of Donald Trump nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (PPP)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Bernie Sanders (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Cory Booker (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Kamala Harris (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

This poll was done March 27-28 among 846 registered voters.

March 31, 2019

Trump Leads All Dems Except Biden in NV

Emerson Polling moves onto the state of Nevada and it shows Donald Trump might be able to pick up this state that he lost in 2016.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Bernie Sanders (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Kamala Harris (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 54%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 48%

PRESIDENT – NEVADA – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 26%
Bernie Sanders 23%
Beto O’Rourke 10%
Elizabeth Warren 10%
Kamala Harris 9%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Andrew Yang 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Julian Castro 1%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Jay Inslee 0%

This poll was done March 28-30 among 719 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 1:54 pm
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March 29, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 5% Nationally, Biden Leads Dems By Double Digits

Rasmussen Reports has put out a new poll for the straight head-to-head match up between Donald Trump and Joe Biden and it shows Biden holding a 5% lead over Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done March 17-21 among 5000 likely voters. At the primary level, Harris and Harvard have anew poll showing Joe Biden leading Bernie Sanders by 18%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Harris/Harvard)
Joe Biden 35%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Beto O’Rourke 7%
Elizabeth Warren 6%
Kamala Harris 5%
Cory Booker 4%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Michael Bloomberg 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Kristen Gillibrand 1%
Michael Avenatti 1%

For some inexplicable reason, they also had a primary poll that included 2016 loser Hillary Clinton, which showed Clinton at 11% in the primary almost all at the expense of Joe Biden’s share of the vote. This poll was done March 25-26 among 263 likely primary voters.

March 28, 2019

Biden Dominates Dems and Trump in PA

Next to his true home state of Delaware, Pennslyvania is pretty much like one for Joe Biden and the latest poll from Emerson College shows that he would dominate the primary race there as well as start out with a double-digit lead in a state Donald Trump won just over two years ago.

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Bernie Sanders (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Kamala Harris (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 39%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 11%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Beto O’Rourke 5%
Kamala Harris 5%
Cory Booker 4%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Andrew Yang 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Amy Klobuchar 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Jay Inslee 0%

Interestingly, this is the first state poll Emerson has released in quite a while to not include Howard Schultz in a three-way race. This poll was done March 26-28 among 808 registered voters.

Biden Leads Sanders By Double Digits Nationally

Quinnipiac University has put out a new poll for the Democratic primary race at the national level and it shows Joe Biden holding onto a double-digit lead over Bernie Sanders.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden 29%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Beto O’Rourke 12%
Kamala Harris 8%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Elizabeth Warren 4%
Cory Booker 2%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Andrew yang 0%
John Delaney 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Kirsten Gillbrand 0%

This poll was done March 21-25 among 559 registered Democratic primary voters.

March 27, 2019

Collins Leads Gideon By 22% in ME

Susan Collins is apparently still doing a decent job of separating herself from Donald Trump as she holds a commanding lead over Democrat Sara Gideon, who is the Speaker of the House in Maine according to the article, in a hypothetical match up according to a new poll from Pan Atlantic Research.

US SENATE – MAINE (Pan Atlantic Research)
Susan Collins (R-inc) 51%
Sara Gideon (D) 29%

This poll was done March 4-13 among 500 likely voters.

March 26, 2019

Dems Leads Trump in WI, Trump leads Dems in MI, Split in PA

This apparently came out over the weekend from Firehouse Strategies and 0ptimus. We have a set of polls for the three states of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan that show Trump still in decent positions of holding both Michigan and Pennsylvania where Wisconsin might be getting away from him a little.

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (FH/Optimus)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (FH/Optimus)
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Joe Biden (D) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Bernie Sanders (D) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 39%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (FH/Optimus)
Joe Biden (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Bernie Sanders (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 40%

These polls were done March 19-21 among 616 likely voters in WI, 632 likely voters in PA and 530 likely voters in MI.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS