EGO BOOST
GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY
RASMUSSEN REPORTS
POLLING SITES
HEDGEHOG REPORT SOCIAL NETWORK

Search

August 2, 2015

NBC/WSJ Have Trump At 19% in National GOP Primary

I would have had this up earlier, but Windows 10 took almost 80 minutes from beginning to end to install on my laptop. NBC News and The Wall Street Journal have come out with their view of the Republican primary race and it has Donald Trump only at 19%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (NBC/WSJ)
Donald Trump 19%
Scott Walker 15%
Jeb Bush 14%
Ben Carson 10%
Ted Cruz 9%
Mike Huckabee 6%
Rand Paul 6%
Marco Rubio 5%
Chris Christie 3%
John Kasich 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Bobby Jindal 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Carly Fiorina 0%
Lindsey Graham 0%
George Pataki 0%
Jim Gilmore 0%

This poll was done July 26-30 among 252 likely primary voters.

August 1, 2015

Trump Hits 31% Nationally in GOP Field

Following up on their poll yesterday, Gravis Marketing has a new national poll that shows Donald Trump has now hit 30% in the national primary race, nearly tripling his nearest opponent.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Gravis)
Donald Trump 31%
Jeb Bush 13%
Scott Walker 13%
Ben Carson 6%
Mike Huckabee 6%
Ted Cruz 6%
Marco Rubio 5%
John Kasich 5%
Rand Paul 4%
Chris Christie 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Carly Fiorina 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Lindsey Graham 1%
Bobby Jindal 1%
George Pataki 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Gravis)
Hillary Clinton 55%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Elizabeth Warren 9%
Joe Biden 6%
Jim Webb 5%
Martin O’Malley 3%
Lincoln Chafee 2%

Not sure of the dates of this poll since it was not mentioned in the article, but it does state it was done among 1535 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 3:27 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (79) | Display Comments On Separate Page

July 31, 2015

Trumps Hits 30% in IA

Donald Trump is now doubling up on Scott Walker in the state of Iowa according to a new poll from Gravis Marketing and OANN as Republicans continue their destructive path of making Donald Trump the face of the Republican Party.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – GOP CAUCUS (Gravis)
Donald Trump 31%
Scott Walker 15%
Jeb Bush 10%
Bobby Jindal 7%
Mike Huckabee 6%
Ted Cruz 6%
Ben Carson 5%
John Kasich 5%
Carly Fiorina 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Marco Rubio 3%
Rick Perry 2%
Lindsey Graham 1%
Chris Christie 1%
Rand Paul 1%
George Pataki 1%

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Gravis)
Hillary Clinton 51%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Elizabeth Warren 11%
Joe Biden 6%
Martin O’Malley 5%
Lincoln Chafee 2%
Jim Webb 1%

Why on earth are they still including Elizabeth Warren in their polls? These polls were done July 29th among likely caucus goers.

Kasich Wins Howard County, MD Straw Poll

This evening we also held a straw poll for the 2016 Presidential primary. Gov. John Kasich came in first, followed by Gov. Scott Walker, and Sen Rand Paul.

Posted by The Howard County Republican Party on Thursday, July 30, 2015

So it appears at least the voters who attended our local county Lincoln Day Dinner last night at least have some sanity. Note, no Donald Trump, Ted Cruz or Ben Carson in the top three. We also got to hear from Florida US Senate candidate David Jolly:

IMG_1023

I will say winning an election really helps with enthusiasm in the Republican Party. Everyone outside Maryland knows about Larry Hogan becoming Governor, but we were also able to win at the local level back in November for the first time in twenty years and the increase in excitement for Republicans in Maryland and Howard County even nine months later is still very high. Meanwhile, Rasmussen Reports has put out their primary poll to add to the Fox News’ mix.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Rasmussen)
Donald Trump 26%
Scott Walker 14%
Jeb Bush 10%
Ted Cruz 7%
Mike Hcukabee 7%
Marco Rubio 5%
Ben Carson 5%
John Kasich 5%
Rand Paul 3%
Chris Christie 2%
Rick Perry 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Bobby Jindal 2%
Carly Fiorina 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
George Pataki 1%

This poll was done July 26-27 among 471 likely voters. Add this to Quinnipiac University’s poll yesterday and I am sure a slew of others dumping out polls leading up to Thursday’s debate, we should be in for a treat if you like polling.

July 29, 2015

Duckworth Leads Kirk By 6% in IL

Republicans will likely have a hard time holding the US Senate seat in Illinois if Tammy Duckworth becomes the Democratic nominee according to Public Policy Polling.

US SENATE – ILLINOIS (PPP)
Tammy Duckworth (D) 42%
Mark Kirk (R-inc) 36%

Mark Kirk (R-inc) 38%
Andrea Zopp (D) 29%

On the Presidential level, this state should stay in the Democrats’ hands.

PRESIDENT – ILLINOIS (PPP)
Clinton (D) 48%
Bush (R) 39%

Sanders (D) 42%
Bush (R) 37%

Clinton (D) 49%
Carson (R) 37%

Clinton (D) 49%
Christie (R) 35%

Clinton (D) 51%
Cruz (R) 37%

Clinton (D) 49%
Fiorina (R) 34%

Clinton (D) 51%
HUckabee (R) 35%

Clinton (D) 47%
Paul (R) 37%

Clinton (D) 49%
Rubio (R) 37%

Sanders (D) 40%
Rubio (R) 34%

Clinton (D) 51%
Trump (R) 33%

Sanders (D) 48%
Trump (R) 32%

Clinton (D) 50%
Walker (R) 39%

Sanders (D) 40%
Walker (R) 36%

This poll as done July 20-21 among 931 registered voters.

Trump Leads GOP Field in Florida

The Republican Party is absolutely screwed. St. Pete Polls is showing Donald Trump now leading the Republican Party in the home state of Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (St. Pete Polls)
Donald Trump 26%
Jeb Bush 20%
Scott Walker 12%
Marco Rubio 10%
Ben Carson 5%
Ted Cruz 4%
John Kasich 4%
Rand Paul 3%

This poll was done July 18-28 among 1902 likely voters. It does seem odd is that they did not include all the candidates, incuding Mike Huckabee, Carly Fiorina, George Pataki, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, and Chris Christie.

Posted by Dave at 4:28 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (5) | Display Comments On Separate Page

Trump Leads GOP Field By Double Digits

Morning Consult is out with their latest poll and it now has Donald Trump leading the Republican field by double digits.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (MC)
Donald Trump 24%
Jeb Bush 13%
Scott Walker 9%
Ben Carson 8%
Marco Rubio 5%
Chris Christie 5%
Mike Huckabee 4%
Ted Cruz 4%
John Kasich 4%
Rand Paul 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Carly Fiorina 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
Bobby Jindal 1%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Perry 1%

This poll was done July 23-27 among 1979 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 2:51 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (36) | Display Comments On Separate Page

July 28, 2015

Trump Doubles Up On Bush in NH

More evidence that a good chunk of the Republican primary voters in New Hampshire are delusional comes from Monmouth University.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (Monmouth)
Donald Trump 24%
Jeb Bush 12%
Scott Walker 7%
John Kasich 7%
Marco Rubio 6%
Ben Carson 5%
Rand Paul 5%
Chris Christie 4%
Ted Cruz 3%
Carly Fiorina 3%
Mike Huckabee 2%
George Pataki 2%
Bobby Jindal 2%
Rick Perry 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Lindsey Graham <1%
Jim Gilmore <1%

This poll was done July 23-26 among 467 registered voters.

July 26, 2015

Trump Leads GOP Nationally and in NH, Second Place in IA

The disaster for the Republican Party that is Donald Trump continues unabated today as we have a set of polls showing how utterly blind to reality a large chunk of Republican voters are both nationally and in the two early states of Iowa and New Hampshire. Donald Trump is now on top of the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (CNN/ORC)
Donald Trump 18%
Jeb Bush 15%
Scott Walker 10%
Ted Cruz 7%
Rand Paul 6%
Marco Rubio 6%
Mike Huckabee 5%
Ben Carson 4%
Chris Christie 4%
John Kasich 4%
Rick Perry 3%
Bobby Jindal 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Lindsey Graham 1%
George Pataki 1%
Carly Fiorina 1%
Jim Gilmore 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN/ORC)
Hillary Clinton 56%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Joe Biden 15%
Jim Webb 1%
Lincoln Chafee 0%
Martin O’Malley 0%

This poll was done July 22-25 among registered voters. But wait, it gets worse. NBC News and Marist College released polls for Iowa and New Hampshire this morning that shows Trump surging in both of these early states.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – GOP CAUCUS (Marist)
Scott Walker 19%
Donald Trump 17%
Jeb Bush 12%
Ben Carson 8%
Mike Huckabee 7%
Rand Paul 5%
Ted Cruz 4%
Marco Rubio 4%
Rick Perry 3%
Chris Christie 2%
John Kasich 2%
Carly Fiorina 1%
Bobby Jindal 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
George Pataki <1%
Rick Santorum <1%
Jim Gilmore <1%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (Marist)
Donald Trump 21%
Jeb Bush 14%
Scott Walker 12%
John Kasich 7%
Chris Christie 6%
Ben Carson 6%
Ted Cruz 5%
Marco Rubio 5%
Rand Paul 4%
Mike Huckabee 3%
Carly Fiorina 2%
George Pataki 2%
Rick Perry <1%
Bobby Jindal <1%
Lindsey Graham <1%
Rick Santorum <1%
Jim Gilmore <1%

Just absolutely mind boggling that there are this many Republican voters who really want Donald Trump to be the face of the party. On the Democratic side, Hillary CLcinton still leads in both states by double digits.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Marist)
Hillary Clinton 55%
Bernie Sanders 26%
Martin O’Malley 4%
Jim Webb 2%
Lincoln Chafee 1%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Marist)
Hillary Clinton 47%
Bernie Sanders 34%
Martin O’Malley 5%
Lincoln Chafee 2%
Jim Webb 1%

Both sets of polls were done July 14-21 among registered voters in each party.

What is really depressing is that even if Republican voters eventually manage to avoid the embarrassment of Donald Trump being the face of the party, the damage that has already been done to the brand may be something that won’t be recoverable in 2016.

July 24, 2015

Vitter Trails Edwards in LA

Since we hit 1000 comments, I guess I should get a new thread up. Could David Vitter actually lose the gubernatorial seat for Republicans in Louisiana? A new poll just made public done by Market Insight indicates he is currently trailing the jungle primary.

GOVERNOR – LOUISIANA – PRIMARY (Market Insight)
John Bel Edwards (D) 30%
David Vitter (R) 24%
Scott Angelle (R) 14%
Jay Dardenne (R) 12%

This articel onyl indicates this poll was done in “late June”. The good news for Vitter is that the combined Republican vite hits 50%, meaning he would at least have that in his favor in the runoff election.

Posted by Dave at 9:13 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (92) | Display Comments On Separate Page