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June 18, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 9% in FL

Quinnipiac University released a new poll for the state of Florida showing yet another state Donald Trump may struggle to hold in 2020.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Kamala Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden 41%
Bernie Sanders 14%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Kamala Harris 6%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Cory Booker 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 12-17 among 1279 registered voters and 417 registered priamry voters.

Posted by Dave at 2:57 pm
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June 17, 2019

Bevin Leads Beshear By 6%, Trump Dominates Dems in KY

Polling has been almost been non-existent in the state of Kentucky for the upcoming gubernatorial race this year, but Gravis Marketing has given us a new one today and it shows Republican Matt Bevin with a 6% lead over Democrat Andy Beshear.

GOVERNOR – KENTUCKY (Gravis)
Matt Bevin (R-inc) 48%
Andy Beshear (D) 42%

There have only been two polls that I am aware of in this race and this the first to show Bevin in the lead. Here are the two polls on the PollWatch page for Kentucky. There were also some 2020 numbers in this poll showing Donald Trump should have no problem holding this state.

PRESIDENT – KENTUCKY (Gravis)
Donald Trump (R-inc) 57%
Joe Biden (D) 37%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 57%
Bernie Sanders (D) 35%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 60%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 28%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 60%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 28%

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Gravis)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 49%
Jim Gray (D) 41%

This poll was done June 11-12 among 741 likely voters.

June 16, 2019

Biden Leads Dems in IA, NH and SC, Leads Trump By 10% Nationally

Fox News released a new poll this morning that show Donald Trump now down by double digits to Joe Biden nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Fox News)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

Bernie Sanders (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 43%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Kamala Harris (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 41%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Fox News)
Joe Biden 32%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Elizabeth Warren 9%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Kamala Harris 8%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
John Delaney 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Steve Bullock 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Mike Gravel 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Michael Bennet 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Bill de Blasio 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Wayne Messam 0%

This poll was done June 9-12 among 1001 registered voters. CBS News and YouGov released a new group of polls for the early Democratic primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina showing Joe Biden leading in all three.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Joe Biden 30%
Bernie Sanders 22%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Kamala Harris 5%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 3%
John Delaney 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Mike Gravel 0%
Julian Castro 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Michael Bennet 0%
Andrew Yang 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Bill de Blasio 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Wayne Messam 0%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Kamala Harris 7%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
John Delaney 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Steve Bullock 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Mike Gravel 0%
Julian Castro 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Michael Bennet 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Bill de Blasio 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Wayne Messam 0%

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Joe Biden 45%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 4%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Wayne Messam 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
John Hickenlooper 9%
John Delaney 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Steve Bullock 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Julian Castro 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Michael Bennet 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Bill de Blasio 0%
Seth Moulton 0%

These polls were done May 31-June 12 among likely primary voters or caucus goers in each state.

June 12, 2019

Biden Leads Dem Field By 17% in NV

Monmouth University has a new poll out today showing Joe Biden with a lead among Democrats in the state of Nevada.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA – DEM CAUCUS (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 36%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 7%
Kamala Harris 6%
Cory Booker 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Julián Castro 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Steve Bullock <1%
John Hickenlooper <1%
Jay Inslee <1%
Wayne Messam <1%
Tim Ryan <1%
Michael Bennet 0%
Bill de Blasio 0%
John Delaney 0%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
Mike Gravel 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%

This poll was done June 6-11 among 370 likely caucus goers.

June 11, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 13% Nationally

This morning, Quinnipiac University put out a new national poll that shows Democrats might defeat Donald Trump no matter who they nominate among their top candidates.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Kamala Harris (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Elizabeth Warren 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Pete BUttigieg (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Cory Booker (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

At the primary level, Joe Biden holds an 11% lead over Bernie Sanders.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Biden 30%
Sanders 19%
Warren 15%
Buttigieg 8%
Harris 7%
O’Rourke 3%
Booker 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Yang 1%
Ryan 1%
Gillibrand 0%
Castro 0%
Gabbard 0%
Inslee 0%
Hickenlooper 0%
Delaney 0%
Williamson 0%
Messam 0%
Swalwell 0%
Moulton 0%
Bennett 0%
Bullock 0%
de Blasio 0%
Gravel 0%

This poll was done June 6-10 among 1214 registered voters.

June 9, 2019

Biden Leads Dems By 8% n IA

Last night CNN and The Des Moines Register released a new for the state of Iowa showing Joe Biden still pacing the field.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CNN/DMR)
Joe Biden 24%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Pete Buttigieg 14%
Kamala Harris 7%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Michael Bennett 1%
Cory Booker 1%
Julián Castro 1%
John Delaney 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Steve Bullock 0%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Bill de Blasio 0%
Wayne Messam 0%

This poll was done June 2-5 among 600 likely caucus goers. Meanwhile Rasmussen Reports continues to release their national match up polls showing Donald Trump up 8% n Bill de Blasio.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Bill de Blasio (D) 38%

This poll was done May 26-June 6 among 5000 likely voters.

June 5, 2019

Biden Leads Trump in TX and MI, Two State Trump Won in 2016

Quinnipiac University has a new poll out for the state of Texas showing Republicans could lose this usually reliable number of electoral votes if Joe Biden is the Democratic nominee.

PRESIDENT – TEXAS (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Bernie Sanders (D) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Kamala Harris (D) 43%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Julian Castro (D) 43%

This poll was done May 29-June 4 among 1159 registered voters. Meanwhile in the state of Michigan, the Detroit News shows that it doesn’t matter who the Democrats nominate, Trump will be in trouble of losing the electoral votes there.

PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (Detroit News)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Bernie Sanders (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Kamala Harris (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done May 28-30 among 900 likely voters.

June 4, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 12% in NC, Leads Dem Field Nationally By 14%

Emerson College has released a new poll for the state of North Carolina that shows Donald Trump trailing Joe Biden by double digits.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 56%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Bernie Sanders (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 50%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Kamala Harris (D) 49%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Biden 39%
Sanders 22%
Warren 15%
Buttigieg 8%
Harris 5%
O’Rourke 3%
Klobuchar 1%
Yang 1%
De Blasio 1%
Booker 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Ryan 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done May 31-June 3 among 932 registered voters and 347 Democrats. Meanwhile on the national level, CNN says Biden continues to lead the Democratic field by double digits albeit by less than he did last month.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Biden 32%
Sanders 18%
Harris 8%
Warren 7%
Buttigieg 5%
O’Rourke 5%
Booker 3%
Castro 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Bennet 1%
Gabbard 1%
Inslee 1%
Yang 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Ryan 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done May 28-31 among registered primary voters.

June 2, 2019

Hogan Will Not Run Against Trump in Primary

Well it looks like ill have to find someone else to vote for the Republican presidential primary as my Governor has decided NOT to run. From the first two paragraphs in The Washington Post.

Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, who was considering an insurgent White House bid that would have championed traditional GOP values, will not challenge President Trump for the Republican Party’s 2020 nomination.

“I’m not going to be a candidate for president in 2020,” Hogan said in an interview.

Looks like Republicans might be stuck with Trump as their standard bearer after all. Harvard and Harris X show in their latest poll what has become the norm lately, a large lead for Joe Biden.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Harvard/Harris X)
Joe Biden 36%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Kamala Harris 8%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 3%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Michael Bloomberg 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
John Delaney 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Kristen Gillibrand 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
Amy Klobuchar 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
This poll was done May 29-30 among registered primary voters.

May 25, 2019

Biden Leads Dem Field By 9% Nationally, Leads Trump By Only 1% in General

A quick turnaround from last night with a new poll this morning. Yesterday Change Research released a new poll for the presidential race and it shows Joe Biden’s lead in the Democratic primary standing at only 9%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Change Research)
Joe Biden 31%
Bernie Sandrs 22%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Kamala Harris 8%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Stacey Abrams 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Bill de Blasio 1%
Marianne Williamson 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Julián Castro 0%
Steve Bullock 0%
Michael Bennet 0%
Mike Gravel 0%
John Delaney 0%
Wayne Messam 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Change Research)
Joe Biden (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Kamala Harris (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 46%

Donald trump (R-inc) 46%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 44%

This poll was done May 18-21 among 2904 registered voters.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS