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October 21, 2014

Gardner Leads in CO, Hagan Leads in NC, Snyder Leads in MI

Monmouth University seems to branching out this year and they join a string of pollsters showing Cory Gardner with a lead over Mark Udall in Colorado.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Survey USA)
Cory Gardner (R) 47%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 46%

This poll was done October 17-20 among 431 likely voters. Meanwhile Survey USA is out with a new poll showing Kay Hagan with a 3% lead over Thom Tillis in North Carolina.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Thom Tillis (R) 43%
Sean Haugh (L) 6%

This poll was done October 16-20 among 568 likely voters. Finally this evening, Rick Snyder seems to be pulling away in Michigan according to EPIC-MRA.

GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (EPIC-MRA)
Rick Snyder (R-inc) 47%
Mark Schauer (D) 39%

This poll was done October 17-19 among 600 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:00 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (17) | Display Comments On Separate Page

Gardner Leads By 3% in CO, Cassidy Leads By 3% in LA

From today’s DCCC email:

Subject Line: kiss any hope goodbye

Dave — We have a TERRIBLE problem. And literally only a few hours left to find a solution.
….
If you’re reading this email right now, we’re begging for your help.

In two weeks at just about this time, we will be getting the first useless reports about how heavy or light turnout is and how it supposedly helps Democrats and/or Republicans. Another poll, another lead for Cory Gardner over Mark Udall in the state of Colorado. This time it comes from Public Policy Polling.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
Cory Gardner (R) 47%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 44%

This poll was done October 16-19 among 778 likely voters. Last night, a new poll came out from Multi-Quest International for the state of Louisiana claiming Bill Cassidy has a 3% edge on Mary Landrieu in the expected runoff.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (MQI)
Bill Cassidy (R) 43%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 40%

This poll was done October 14-19 among 605 registered voters.

McConnell Leads Grimes By 3% in KY

Another poll for the state of Kentucky, this time from Western Kentucky, that shows Mitch McConnell with a small lead over Alison Lundergan Grimes.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (WKU)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 45%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 42%

This poll was done October 6-20 among likely voters. Why someone is doing a poll that last two weeks this close to an election is somewhat mind boggling.

October 20, 2014

Cotton Leads By 8% in AR, Tillis Leads Hagan By 5% in NC

The latest poll from Talk Business and Hendrix College now shows Tom Cotton with an 8% lead over Mark Pryor.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (TB/Hendrix)
Tom Cotton (R) 49%
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 41%

This poll was done October 15-16 among 2075 likely voters. Meanwhile in North Carolina, Gravis Marketing has released a poll contradicting the earlier poll from Public Policy Polling.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Gravis)
Thom Tillis (R) 48%
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 43%

This poll was done October 16-18 among 1022 likely voters.

Polls From NC, NH, KS and KY

At the risk of becoming a glorified chat forum, I should get something new up. Public Policy Polling has their home state of North Carolina standing at a 3% margin for Kay Hagan.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Thom Tillis (R) 43%
Sean Haugh (L) 5%

This poll was done October 16-18 among 780 likely voters. Suffolk University puts the Senate race in New Hampshire at a 3% lead for Jeanne Shaheen.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Suffolk)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 46%

This poll was done October 16-19 among 500 likely voters. In Kansas, Monmouth University enters the state with a new poll claiming a dead-heat tie between Greg Orman and Pat Roberts.

US SENATE – KANSAS (Monmouth)
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 46%
Greg Orman (I) 46%

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (Monmouth)
Paul Davis (D) 50%
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 45%

This poll was done October 16-19 among 429 likely voters. Survey USA is back in Kentucky and gives Mitch McConnell a single-percentage point lead over Alison Lundergan Grimes.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Survey USA)
Mitch McConnel (R-inc) 44%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43%

This poll was done October 15-19 among 655 likely voters.

Open Thread MONDAY!

Not what I wanted to do this morning, but time has made it impossible for me to get another post up, so I will have to provide an Open thread for now to give a clean slate…hopefully I will have time later this afternoon.

October 18, 2014

Weekend Open Thread

It looks like I will be without much Internet connection this weekend, so this Open Thread will have to do for now….

2014 Week 7 NFL Picks

Now that the MLB season is over (except for two teams who still have to play some meaningless games…well meaningless to me at least), we can concentrate on football.

WEEK 6 WINNERS
Indianapolis beat Houston
Cleveland beat Pittsburgh
Tennessee beat Jacksonville
Baltimore beat Tampa Bay
New England beat Buffalo
Denver beat N.Y. Jets
San Diego beat Oakland
Arizona beat Washington
Philadelphia beat N.Y. Giants
San Francisco beat St. Louis

WEEK 6 LOSERS
Miami lost to Green Bay
Minnesota lost to Detroit
Atlanta lost to Chicago
Seattle lost to Dallas

WEEK 6 PUSH
Cincinnati and Carolina tied

The so-called experts at ESPN decided the tie game would not count against anyone, so I will do the same. A 10-4 week brings my season record to 58-32 and keeps me in sixth place, three games behind first place.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Tom Jackson 61-29
Cris Carter 61-29
KC Joyner 61-29
Eric Allen 59-31
Ron Jaworksi 59-31
ME 58-32
Seth Wickersham 57-33
Mark Schlereth 57-33
Adam Schefter 55-35
Mike Golic 55-35
Mike Ditka 53-37
Keyshawn Johnson 52-38
Merrill Hoge 52-38
Cris Mortensen 50-40

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 7 of the 2014 NFL season.

WEEK 7 NFL PICKS
N.Y. Jets at New England
Miami at Chicago
New Orleans at Detroit
Carolina at Green Bay
Cleveland at Jacksonville
Atlanta at Baltimore
Minnesota at Buffalo
Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Tennessee at Washington
Seattle at St. Louis
Kansas City at San Diego
Arizona at Oakland
N.Y. Giants at Dallas
San Francisco at Denver
Houston at Pittsburgh

Posted by Dave at 6:25 am
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October 16, 2014

Polls From GA, AR, MA and LA

We have a new poll from Gapundit.com in the state of Georgia claiming Michelle Nunn has a single percentage-point lead over David Perdue.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (GaPundit)
Michelle Nunn (D) 46%
David Perdue (R-inc) 45%
Amanda Swafford (L) 6%

This poll was done October 13-14 among likely voters. Rasmussen Reports gave us two polls with good news for Republicans in Arkansas and Massachusetts.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (Rasmussen)
Tom Cotton (R) 47%
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 44%

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (Rasmussen)
Charlie Baker (R) 48%
Martha Coakley (D) 45%

The AR poll was done October 13-15 among 980 likely voters. The MA poll was done October 13-14 among 940 likely voters. Vox Populi Polling has reemerged with a new poll in Louisiana showing Bill Cassidy would win a runoff election.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (VPP)
Bill Cassidy (R) 48%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 44%

This poll was done October 13-14 among 546 likely voters.

Gardner Leads By 6% in CO

The number of American League teams that have gone longer without making a World Series than the Baltimore Orioles (31 years) – 1. The Seattle Mariners have gone 37 years since they were founded without making the World Series. Since the Orioles won the World Series in 1983, every other American League team other than the Mariners has at least made the World Series once. Sad….

This morning, we get that promised poll from Quinnipiac University for the state of Colorado.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
Cory Gardner (R) 47%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 41%
Steve Shogan (I) 8%

This poll was done October 8-13 among 988 likely voters.

US SENATE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 53 8
DEM 45 -8
IND 2 0

US HOUSE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 238 4
DEM 197 -4