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February 5, 2016

Another NH Poll Shows Rubio in 2nd Place

Apparently the University of Massachusetts has competing polling firms within their own system. We know about the UMass-Lowell tracking poll and now UMass-Amherst has their own poll out of New Hampshire that they are doing with WBZ.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (UMass-Amherst/WBZ)
Trump 35%
Rubio 15%
Kasich 11%
Cruz 9%
Bush 8%
Christie 5%
Carson 4%
Fiorina 3%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (UMass-Amherst/WBZ)
Sanders 58%
Clinton 35%

This poll was done January 29-February 2. In this day and age, the dates of this poll being released only today make it borderline ancient.

Three New NH Polls

In Iowa, Gravis Marketing’s final poll said Hillary Clinton was going to defeat Bernie Sanders by double digits and Donald Trump would beat Ted Cruz by 4% with Marco Rubio only getting 13%. We see how that turned out. With that in mind, here is Gravis Marketing’s latest poll for the state of New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (Gravis)
Trump 29%
Rubio 19%
Cruz 15%
Kasich 13%
Bush 8%
Christie 6%
Carson 4%
Fiorina 4%
Paul 1%
Santorum 0%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Gravis)
Sanders 58%
Clinton 42%

This poll was done February 2-4 among likely primary voters in each party. Suffolk University and The Boston Globe have their view of the race in New Hampshire and show very similar numbers on the GOP side, but a single-digit race in the Democratic side.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (Suffolk)
Trump 29%
Rubio 19%
Kasich 13%
Bush 10%
Cruz 7%
Bush 8%
Christie 5%
Carson 4%
Fiorina 4%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Suffolk)
Sanders 50%
Clinton 41%

This poll was done February 2-4 among likely primary voters. Adding to the NH pile is MassINC and WBUR.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (MassINC/WBUR)
Trump 29%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 12%
Kasich 9%
Bush 9%
Fiorina 8%
Christie 6%
Carson 4%
Gilmore <1%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (MassINC/WBUR)
Sanders 54%
Clinton 39%

This poll was done February 2-4 among likely voters. Looking at just these three polls and seeing that Carly Fiorina is either tied with or ahead of Ben Carson, I have to say it is a little ridiculous that Fiorina is being excluded from the debates while Carson is included. Meanwhile Rasmussen Reports awoke from their slumber to release a new national poll on the Democratic side.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Rasmussen)
Clinton 50%
Sanders 32%

This poll was done February 3-4 among likely voters.

Rubio Surges Nationally, Leads Clinton by 7%

The polls, I am sure, are going to be coming fast over the next few days and I will try to keep up as I can. This morning, Quinnipiac University, who absolutely botched the Republican caucus in Iowa on Monday, is out with a new national poll this morning.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Trump 31%
Cruz 22%
Rubio 19%
Carson 6%
Bush 3%
Christie 3%
Kasich 3%
Fiorina 2%
Gilmore 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY(Quinnipiac)
Clinton 44%
Sanders 42%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Quinnipiac)

Clinton 46%
Trump 41%

Clinton 45%
Cruz 45%

Rubio 48%
Clinton 41%

Sanders 49%
Trump 39%

Clinton 46%
Cruz 42%

Rubio 43%
Clinton 43%

This poll was done February 2-4 among 1255 registered voters. Meanwhile, the latest tracking poll from UMass-Lowell and 7News has Trump falling once again.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (UMass-Lowell/7News)
Trump 34%
Rubio 15%
Cruz 14%
Kasich 8%
Bush 8%
Christie 5%
Carson 4%
Fiorina 3%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (UMass-Lowell/7News)
Sanders 55%
Clinton 40%

This edition covers February 2-4 among likely voters. On the flipside, American Research Group shows Donald Trump gaining a couple of percentage points.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (ARG)
Trump 36%
Rubio 15%
Kasich 14%
Cruz 12%
Bush 8%
Christie 6%
Carson 2%
Fiorina 2%
Gilmore 0%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (ARG)
Sanders 54%
Clinton 38%

This edition of the poll covers February 3-4 among likely primary voters.

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February 4, 2016

Rubio Surges to 11% Behind Trump, Sanders Leads by 20% in NH

CNN and WMUR have put out a tracking poll for the state of New Hampshire that shows Marco Rubio surging into second place and now within 11% of Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (CNN/WMUR/UNH)
Trump 29%
Rubio 18%
Cruz 13%
Kasich 12%
Bush 10%
Christie 4%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Gilmore 0%

This edition covers February 2-4 among likely voters. Meanwhile, NBC News, The Wall Street Journal, and Marist College have the Democratic side out and it shows Bernie Sanders with a 20% lead over Hillary Clinton.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Marist)
Sanders 58%
Clinton 38%

This poll was done February 2-3 among 567 likely primary voters.

ARG Puts Out New NH Tracking Poll

Contrary to UMass-Lowell, American Research Group show Bernie Sanders gaining in New Hampshire compared to pre-Iowa, however they end up at about the same place.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (ARG)
Sanders 54%
Clinton 38%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (ARG)
Trump 34%
Rubio 14%
Kasich 13%
Cruz 12%
Bush 8%
Christie 6%
Carson 2%
Fiorina 2%
Gilmore 0%

These poll were done February 2-3 among likely voters. This will be a tracking poll and ARG will be releasing a new poll everyday.

Trump Collapses Nationally

I saw these new numbers from Public Policy Polling last night and thought they were interim numbers for the poll, but apparently it was for the full poll.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Trump 25%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 21%
Carson 11%
Bush 5%
Kasich 5%
Paul 5%
Christie 3%
Fiorina 3%
Gilmore 1%
Santorum 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (PPP)
Clinton 53%
Sanders 32%

This poll was done February 2-3 among 531 primary voters on the GOP side and 517 primary voters on the Democratic side.

Posted by Dave at 2:19 pm
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Rubio Surges to 2nd Place in NH

UMass-Lowell and 7News still have New Hampshire almost to themselves and their new poll this morning showing Marco Rubio surging to second place while Hillary Clinton has cut Bernie Sanders down to 22% (from 33% at the start of this tracking poll).

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (UMass-Lowell/7News)
Sanders 58%
Clinton 36%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (UMass-Lowell/7News)
Trump 36%
Rubio 15%
Cruz 14%
Bush 8%
Kasich 7%
Christie 5%
Carson 4%
Fiorina 3%

This edition covers February 1-3 among likely voters.

February 3, 2016

Bush In 2nd Place in NH, Santorum Out

Add Rick Santorum to “I’m done” crowd….

I forgot these people even still existed. Harper Polling has put out a new poll for the race in New Hampshire and it shows Donald Trump at 31% and Jeb Bush currently sitting in second place.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (Harper)
Trump 31%
Bush 14%
Kasich 12%
Rubio 10%
Cruz 9%
Christie 6%
Fiorina 5%
Carson 3%
Paul 3%
Gilmore 0%
Huckabee 0%
Santorum 0%

This poll was done February 1-2 among 425 likely voters.

Paul Out, Trump Bitter About IA

Rand Paul is now out, but the more entertaining news this morning is Donald Trump’s lingering bitterness about Iowa. Two of his Tweets this morning:

So in Trump’s mind, Cruz stole the election and thinks a new election should take place. Mmmmkay….

Trump Steady in NH

The latest tracking poll from UMass-Lowell and 7News is already out this morning and it shows a slight gain for Marco Rubio while Donald Trump and Ted Cruz stay the same from yesterday.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (UMass-Lowell/7News)
Trump 38%
Cruz 145
Rubio 12%
Bush 9%
Kasich 7%
Christie 6%
Carson 3%
Fiorina 3%
Paul 2%
Santorm 0%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (UMass-Lowell/7News)
Sanders 61%
Clinton 32%

This poll covers January 31-February 2 among likely voters. More good news, Donald Trump might finally be fading nationally and ending this nightmare for Republicans.