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December 14, 2019

Biden Lead in SC Down to Single Digits

A couple days ago, The Post and Courier released a new poll for the Democratic primary in South Carolina that shows Joe Biden’s lead down to single digits in his supposed “firewall” state.

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (PAC)
Joe Biden 27%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Cory Booker 5%
Tom Steyer 5%
Tulsi Gabbard 4%
Michael Bloomberg 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done December 6-11 among 392 likely primary voters.

December 10, 2019

Biden Leads Dems in IA

Joe Biden leads Bernie Sanders by a single percentage point in the the state of Iowa according to a new poll from Emerson College.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Emerson)
Biden 23%
Sanders 22%
Buttigieg 18%
Warren 12%
Klobuchar 10%
Booker 4%
Steyer 3%
Bloomberg 2%
Yang 2%
Gabbard 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Emerson)
Trump (R-inc) 46%
Buttigieg (D) 45%

Trump (R-inc) 49%
Biden (D) 45%

Trump (R-inc) 50%
Sanders (D) 43%

Trump (R-inc) 50%
Warren (D) 43%

This poll was done December 7-10 among 325 likely Democratic caucus voters and 1043 likely voters.

December 9, 2019

Trump Leads Dems in AZ

It’s been a few weeks, so might as well give out results for a new poll from OH Predictive Insights for the state of Arizona showing Donald Trump with leads varying from 2% to 13% over the leading Democratic candidates.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (OHPI)
Trump (R-inc) 46%
Biden (D) 44%

Trump (R-inc) 47%
Sanders (D) 34%

Trump (R-inc) 47%
Warren (D) 41%

Trump (R-inc) 45%
Buttigieg (D) 43%

Trump (R-inc) 47%
Bloomberg (D) 40%

This poll was done December 3-4 among 628 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:38 pm
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November 27, 2019

Sanders Leads Dems in NH in Two New Polls

Hope everyone is having a good start to the Thanksgiving week. This week we have received two new Democratic primary polls in New Hampshire, one from Suffolk University and The Boston Globe and one from Emerson College and WHDH.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Boston Globe/Suffolk)
Sanders 16%
Warren 14%
Buttigieg 13%
Biden 12%
Gabbard 6%
Yang 4%
Harris 3%
Steyer 2%
Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (WHDH/Emerson)
Sanders 26%
Buttigieg 22%
Warren 14%
Biden 14%
Gabbard 6%
Yang 5%
Harris 4%
Steyer 3%
Booker 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

Emerson College also gave us some General Election numbers.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Emerson/WHDH)
Biden (D) 52%
Trump (R-inc) 48%

Sanders (D) 52%
Trump (R-inc) 48%

Buttigieg (D) 53%
Trump (R-inc) 47%

Trump (R-inc) 51%
Yang (D) 49%

Trump (R-inc) 51%
Warren (D) 49%

The Suffolk poll was done November 21-24 among likely Democratic primary voters. The Emerson poll was done November 22-26 among likely voters for both the primary and general.

November 20, 2019

Buttigieg Surges Ahead in NH

A new poll came out yesterday from Saint Anselm College that shows Pete Buttigieg now moving into a lead in the state of New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Saint Anselm)
Pete Buttigieg 24%
Joe Biden 15%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Bernie Sanders 9%
Amy Klobuchar 6%
Tom Steyer 5%
Cory Booker 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Andrew Yang 2%
Kamala Harris 1%

This poll was done November 13-18 among 512 registered voters. Buttigieg now has leads outside the margin of error in the states of Iowa and New Hampshire in the past week. Wow.

November 17, 2019

Polls From IA, NH, NV and SC

CBS News and YouGov are showing Pete Buttigieg’s rise in Iowa, but not nearly to the degree CNN showed yesterday. Here are the results of the four early states for Democrats.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Biden 22%
Sanders 22%
Buttigieg 21%
Warren 18%
Klobuchar 5%
Harris 5%
Steyer 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Warren 31%
Biden 22%
Sanders 20%
Buttigieg 16%
Klobuchar 3%
Harris 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEVADA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Biden 33%
Sanders 23%
Warren 21%
Buttigieg 9%
Harris 4%
Klobuchar 2%
Steyer 2%
Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Biden 45%
Warren 17%
Sanders 15%
Buttigieg 8%
Harris 5%
Steyer 2%
Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

These polls were done November 6-13 among registered likely primary voters or caucus goers in each state.

November 16, 2019

Buttigieg Opens Up 9% Lead in IA

CNN and Des Moines Register released a new poll for the Democratic caucuses this evening and it shows Pete Buttigieg with a 9% lead over second place Elizabeth Warren.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CNN/DMR)
Pete Buttigieg 25%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Joe Biden 15%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Amy Klobuchar 6%
Cory Booker 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Kamala Harris 3%
Tom Steyer 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Michael Bloomberg 2%

This poll was done November 8-13 among 500 likely caucus goers.

Louisiana Election Night Thread

Republicans will need to win tonight with Eddie Rispone if they hope to break even in the 2019 gubernatorial races after losing in Kentucky early last week. The public polls show this going down to the wire. Polls close at 9pm.

Posted by Dave at 6:00 pm
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November 15, 2019

Biden Leads Trump by 7% in NV and 2% in NC

Fox News released new polls for the states of Nevada and North Carolina yesterday showing Trump trailing Biden in both states.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Fox News)
Biden (D) 47%
Trump (R-inc) 40%

Sanders (D) 47%
Trump (R-inc) 40%

Warren (D) 44%
Trump (R-inc) 41%

Buttigieg (D) 41%
Trump (R-inc) 41%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Fox News)
Biden (D) 45%
Trump (R-inc) 43%

Sanders (D) 45%
Trump (R-inc) 44%

Trump (R-inc) 44%
Warren (D) 43%

Trump (R-inc) 43%
Buttigieg (D) 39%

Both polls were done November 10-13 among registered voters in each state.

November 13, 2019

Trump Trails Biden in GA By 8%

We have a new poll from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution that shows Donald Trump would lose the state of Georgia to the top five Democrats if the election were held today.

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (AJC)
Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

KamalA Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done October 30-November 8 among 1028 registered voters. I am pretty confident in stating Donald Trump is not winning any Electoral College if Georgia is not in his column.

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