It has been a while since we have seen a poll from Pennsylvania, so Scott Rasmussen gives us a look at this state.

PRESIDENT - PENNSYLVANIA (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 42%

With leaners, it is 51%-45% for Obama. Pretty much unchanged from a month ago. This poll was done July 23rd among 700 likely voters. The last poll had 1000 likely voters. Seems strange Rasmussen always adds “extra” voters to his polls in PA, but sticks with 500 likely voters for every other state. Meanwhile, Rasmussen’s poll of the New Hampshire US Senate race puts Jeanne Shaheen ahead of John Sununu by 5%.

US SENATE - NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen)
Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
John Sununu (R-inc) 45%

This seems to confirm the results from UNH showing a 4% race and shows American Research Group (which claims Shaheen is ahead by 22%) is going to be just as bad in polling the General Election as they were during the primaries.

For more polls from New Hampshire, click here.
For more polls from Pennsylvania, click here.

Quinnipiac University, in conjunction with The Wall Street Journal and Washington Post, is out with new polls for the states of Colorado, Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin. In all four states, McCain has made gains on Obama, including taking the lead in Colorado.

PRESIDENT - COLORADO
John McCain (R) 46%
Barack Obama (D) 44%

PRESIDENT - MICHIGAN
Barack Obama (D) 46%
John McCain (R) 42%

PRESIDENT - MINNESOTA
Barack Obama (D) 46%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT - WISCONSIN
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 39%

The CO poll moves this state in John McCain’s column. In the US Senate races, Republican Bob Schaffer has moved into a tie with Democrat Mark Udall while Norm Coleman is blowing out Al Franken.

US SENATE - MINNESOTA
Norm Coleman (R-inc) 53%
Al Franken (D) 38%

US SENATE - COLORADO
Bob Schaffer (R) 44%
Mark Udall (D) 44%

These polls were done July 14-22 among various numbers of likely voters in each state. Yesterday, Rasmussen claimed Franken was ahead of Coleman by 3%. How can they both possibly be true? Speaking of Rasmussen, here is his latest poll for New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT - NEW HAMPSHIRE
Barack Obama (D) 49%
John McCain (R) 45

This poll was done July 23rd among 700 likely voters and seems to match the recent UNH and ARG polls. Later today, Rasmussen will release the poll for the US Senate race in NH as well as a long awaited new poll out of Pennsylvania which should be interesting.

One more pair of polls from Scott Rasmussen today for the state of Minnesota. In the race for the US Senate, Al Franken holds a slim 3% lead when “leaners” are included.

US SENATE - MINNESOTA (Rasmussen)
Al Franken (D) 49%
Norm Coleman (R-inc) 46%

Without “leaners”, Coleman leads 44%-43%. In the Presidential race, Barack Obama is running away with the state.

PRESIDENT - MINNESOTA (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 52%
John McCain (R) 39%

This poll was done July 22nd among 500 likely voters.

For more polls from Minnesota, click here.

One day after American Research Group released a poll showing Jeanne Shaheen with a 22% lead over Republican US Senator John Sununu, the University of New Hampshire releases a new poll showing this race down to a mere 4%.

US SENATE - NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46%
John Sununu (R-inc) 42%

So in two separate polls done at the same time, Shaheen either has a lead of 22% or a lead of 4%. Good grief. The poll also did match ups for the two congressional races in new Hampshire and shows Democrats in good position to keep the 2nd Congressional seat, but the GOP could regain the First Congressional District especially if former Congressman Jeb Bradley gets the nomination.

US HOUSE - NEW HAMPSHIRE - CD1
Carol Shea-Porter (D-inc) 42%
John Stephen (R) 36%

Jeb Bradley (R) 46%
Carol Shea-Porter (D-inc) 40%

US HOUSE - NEW HAMPSHIRE - CD2
Paul Hodes (D-inc) 43%
Jennifer Horn (R) 23%

Paul Hodes (D-inc) 44%
Bob Clegg (R) 25%

This entire poll was done July 11-20 among 475 likely voters (235 in district 1 and 240 in district 2).

For more polls from New Hampshire, click here.

Just one month ago, Scott Rasmussen claimed John McCain had a 7% lead in Florida. In a single month, Obama has erased that lead and now leads McCain by 2%.

PRESIDENT - FLORIDA (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 49%
John McCain (R) 47%

So to believe Rasmussen, you have to believe that McCain holds a double-digit lead in Ohio at the same time he is trailing in Florida. MMMkay. This poll was done July 22nd among 500 likely voters.

The promised new poll for the state of Virginia from Public Policy Polling is out and shows Obama maintaining his 2% lead over John McCain.

PRESIDENT - VIRGINIA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 46%
John McCain (R) 44%

Obama held the same 2% lead last month as well. Meanwhile, the US Senate race is still a blowout.

US SENATE - VIRGINIA (PPP)
Mark Warner (D) 57%
Jim Gilmore (R) 32%

This poll was done July 17-20 among 1327 likely voters. The party registration PPP uses is 36% D / 36% R / 28% Other.

For more polls from Virginia, click here.

The email from Scott Rasmussen says we will be getting a new poll for the state of Florida at Noon and polls for Minnesota later in the day.

Monmouth University is out with a new poll that shows Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by 14%.

PRESIDENT - NEW JERSEY (Monmouth)
Barack Obama (D) 42%
John McCain (r) 28%

This useless poll was done July 17-21 among 874 registered voters.

For more polls from New Jersey, click here.

According to the Public Policy Polling blog, we should be getting a new poll for the state of Virginia later today. Tom Jensen of PPP says the following on his blog.

Ok loyal readers, what I was referring to is that we found a very different party id breakdown in our VA poll this month compared to June, but virtually identical numbers for the horse race. Just not the sort of thing you would expect normally.

Check back between 10 and 11 AM tomorrow for the official numbers.

“Nearly identical numbers for the horse race” would mean would mean a small lead for Obama. I guess we will find out at around 10am. And I am sure we will get another batch of polls from Scott Rasmussen at some point today.

A minor poll from the state of Kentucky for a seat Republicans lost in 2006. Here are the latest results from Survey USA.

US HOUSE - KENTUCKY - CD 3
John Yarmuth (D-inc) 53%
Anne Northup (R) 43%

Two years ago, Yarmuth beat Northup 51%-48%. Bush lost this district to Kerry 51%-49% in 2004 and 50%-48% to Gore in 2000. Yarmuth had a lead of 17% in last month’s poll. This poll was done July 18-20 among 621 likely voters.

For more polls from Kentucky, click here.

I am playing a little catch up here as I had something else to do. After taking back the state of Ohio earlier today, John McCain has also managed to pick up the state of Florida today in a new poll from American Research Group. Last month, ARG claimed McCain was behind by 5%. One month later, he is in the lead.

PRESIDENT - FLORIDA (ARG)
John McCain (R) 47%
Barack Obama (D) 45%

This poll moves the state of Florida to McCain and just today, McCain managed to pick up 47 electoral votes in the Hedgehog Report Electoral College Watch. Obama now leads 303-235. This poll was done July 19-21 among 600 likely voters. In Colorado, Barack Obama holds a 3% lead over john McCain while in the race for the US Senate, Democrat Mark Udall holds a 3% lead over Republican Bob Schaffer.

PRESIDENT - COLORADO (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 47%

US SENATE - COLORADO (Rasmussen)
Mark Udall (D) 49%
Bob Schaffer (R) 46%

This poll was done July 21st among 500 likely voters. Finally in New Hampshire, American Research Group shows McCain closing what was a 12% deficit just one month ago to a mere 2% one month later.

PRESIDENT - NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 45%

Simply amazing that McCain was able to close a gap from 12% to 2% in one single month. Things aren’t looking nearly as good for Republican Senate candidate John Sununu or the Republican candidate for governor.

US SENATE - NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
Jeanne Shaheen (D) 58%
John Sununu (R-inc) 36%

GOVERNOR - NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
John Lynch (D-inc) 60%
Joseph Kenney (R) 27%

This poll was done July 19-21 among 600 likely voters.

The McCain camp just sent out a new email with their latest video. Here is the lead in.

It’s pretty obvious that the media has a bizarre fascination with Barack Obama. Some may even say it’s a love affair. We want you to be the judge. We’ve compiled two videos of the more outrageous moments of this not so secret love affair. Follow this link to watch the two videos and vote on which one you think is better. Your vote will determine which video we put on the air.

The media is in love with Barack Obama. If it wasn’t so serious, it would be funny.

Regards,

The McCain Campaign

Both videos are actually the same, only the song choice is different. here is the one I liked.

The clip of Lee Cowan in the video is borderline ridiculous, but even more so when you find out he is STILL on the Obama campaign beat even after admitting he can’t be objective. You’d think respectable journalists would be embarrassed and start calling out their fellow colleagues who are clearly in the tank for Obama, but so many of them want Obama to win that they have sort of gone into an “Ends Justify The Means” mentality. As long as they can get Obama elected, objectivity be damned….

One day after Public Policy Polling shows a poll with Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by 8% in Ohio, Scott Rasmussen comes back one day later and claims John McCain has opened up a double-digit lead in the state of Ohio. Here is Rasmussen’s latest poll results from the state of Ohio.

PRESIDENT - OHIO (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D) 42%

Last month, McCain had a 1% lead in Rasmussen’s poll. So two polls were done at the same time - one shows Obama ahead by 8% and one shows McCain ahead by 10%. An 18% swing. To paraphrase John Edwards, apparently there are two Ohios….

Rasmussen does state in his email today that he will be releasing polls for the US Senate race in Colorado at 3:00pm (Yawn) and the Presidential race in Colorado at 5:00pm (Should be interesting).

For more polls from Ohio, click here.

McCain going after Obama on his support for high gas prices.

Much better than the previous “Troop Funding” ad in my opinion.

So after about 24 hours, it is clear that the readers of The Hedgehog Report either want to see Mitt Romney or Sarah Palin as John McCain’s Vice Presidential pick. Here were the results of the poll I posted yesterday.

Mitt Romney 85 (28 %)
Sarah Palin 63 (21 %)
Bobby Jindal 20 (6 %)
Michael Steele 18 (6 %)
Mike Huckabee 17 (5 %)
Jeb Bush 17 (5 %)
Joe Lieberman 15 (5 %)
JC Watts 14 (4 %)
Rudy Giuliani 10 (3 %)
Fred Thompson 8 (2 %)
Other 6 (2 %)
Rob Portman 6 (2 %)
Charlie Crist 5 (1 %)
John Thune 5 (1 %)
Tim Pawlenty 5 (1 %)
Mark Sanford 2 (0 %)

If Bob Novak is right, we should get this pick by the end of the week.

I’ve put up a lot more than I thought I would today. Here is yet another pair of polls for a coupe fo those so-called swing states. First, the University of New Hampshire has a new poll out showing Barack Obama now leads John McCain by 3%.

PRESIDENT - NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
Barack Obama (D) 46%
John McCain (R) 43%

This poll was done July 11-20 among 475 likely voters. Meanwhile in Michigan, a new EPIC/MRA poll pegs Obama’s lead at 2%.

PRESIDENT - MICHIGAN (EPIC/MRA)
Barack Obama (D) 43%
John McCain (R) 41%

This poll was done July 13-15 among 600 likely voters.

For more polls from New Hampshire, click here.
For more polls from Michigan, click here.

Here is what the Evans-Novak report is claiming.

Sources close to Sen. John McCain’s presidential campaign are suggesting he will reveal the name of his vice presidential selection this week while Sen. Barack Obama is getting the headlines on his foreign trip. The name of McCain’s running mate has not been disclosed, but Mitt Romney has led the speculation recently.

Of course, we all remember Bob Novak’s last big “scoop” - William Rehniquist to retire by the end of the week….