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December 9, 2016

Kennedy Leads Two Polls in LA Senate Race

Two polls are out in Louisiana that show Republicans in solid shape to maintain their US Senate seat in Louisiana. The University of New Orleans shows Republican John Kennedy with a huge 29% lead over Democrat Foster Campbell.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (UNO)
John Kennedy (R) 62%
Foster Campbell (D) 33%

This poll was done December 6th among 776 likely voters. Meanwhile, Trafalgar Group has Kennedy up by 16%.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (Trafalgar)
John Kennedy (R) 56%
Foster Campbell (D) 40%

This poll was done December 5-6 among likely voters.

December 6, 2016

Kennedy Dominates in LA, Dems Start With Lead in NJ for 2017

Another poll from Louisiana this morning shows Republicans in good shape to keep this US Senate seat in their column from Tulane University.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (Tulane)
John Kennedy (R) 59%
Foster Campbell (D) 40%

This poll was done November 8-18 among 960 “respondents”. Not sure why it took them over two weeks to release the results.

Meanwhile, it is never too early to start looking at the gubernatorial race in New Jersey scheduled for next year and Quinnipiac University has provided a purely generic match up showing voters would vote for a generic Democrat over a generic Republican.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Quinnipiac)
Democrat 44%
Republican 30%

Chris Christie’s job approval rating in this poll is an abysmal 19%-77% split. This poll was done November 28-December 4 among 1318 registered voters.

December 4, 2016

Open Thread Sunday

Just because….

Still one week away from the final US Senate election this upcoming Saturday….

2016 Week 13 NFL Picks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look at how I did with last week’s picks.

2016 WEEK 12 WINNING PICKS
Detroit beat Minnesota
Dallas beat Washington
Pittsburgh beat Indianapolis
N.Y. Giants beat Cleveland
Miami beat San Francisco
New Orleans beat L.A. Rams
Tennessee beat Chicago
Buffalo beat Jacksonville
Atlanta beat Arizona
Baltimore beat Cincinnati
Oakland beat Carolina
New England beat N.Y. Jets

2016 WEEK 12 LOSING PICKS
Houston lost to San Diego
Seattle lost to Tampa Bay
Denver lost to Kansas City
Philadelphia lost to Green Bay

A 12-4 record brings my season record to 106-71 and puts me 6th among the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
KC Joyner 111-66
Matt Bowen 110-67
Mike Golic 110-67
Seth Wickersham 108-69
Kevin Seifert 108-69
ME 106-71
Dan Graziano 106-71
Merrill Hoge 105-72
Adam Caplan 105-72
Ron Jaworski 105-72

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 13 of the 2016 NFL season.

2016 WEEK 12 NFL PICKS
Dallas at Minnesota
Miami at Baltimore
San Francisco at Chicago
Houston at Green Bay
Kansas City at Atlanta
L.A. Rams at New England
Detroit at New Orleans
Philadelphia at Cincinnati
Denver at Jacksonville
Buffalo at Oakland
Tampa Bay at San Diego
Washington at Arizona
N.Y. Giants at Pittsburgh
Carolina at Seattle
Indianapolis at N.Y. Jets

Posted by Dave at 12:20 pm
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December 2, 2016

Kennedy Leads By 14% in LA

Polling for the US Senate race in Louisiana seems somewhat sparse these days. South Media & Opinion Research has put out a new poll showing Republican John Kennedy up by double digits.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (SMOR)
John Kennedy (R) 52%
Foster Campbell (D) 38%

This poll was done November 28-30 among 500 likely voters.

November 29, 2016

Democrat Morgan Leads GOP Candidates in FL Gov Race

The 2018 polls are starting to roll in. We have a new poll from Gravis Marketing that shows John Morgan, who apparently was a large part of the legalization of Medical Marijuana in Florida, ahead of potential Republican candidates in the race for Governor.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Gravis)
John Morgan (D) 41%
Jeff Atwater (R) 34%

John Morgan (D) 45%
Pam Bondi (R) 35%

John Morgan (D) 39%
Adam Putnam (R) 35%

This poll was done November 22-25 among 3250 registered voters. It is worth noting in the final poll from Gravis for the state of Florida in this most recent election released one day before the election tended to lean too heavy towards the Democrats. Gravis claimed Hillary Clinton was ahead of Donald Trump by a 46%-45% margin (Trump won 49%-48%) and Marco Rubio was ahead of Patrick Murphy by a 47%-46% margin (Rubio ended up winning 52%-44%).

Manchin Leads Senate Race in WV

It looks like if Republicans hope to pick off the US Senate seat in West Virginia, they need to hope Joe Manchin decides to either switch parties or decide against running for re-election. The numbers from Harper Polling.

US SENATE – WEST VIRGINIA (Harper)
Joe Manchin (D-inc) 51%
Evan Jenkins (R) 39%

Joe Manchin (D-inc) 57%
Patrick Morrisey (R) 35%

Joe Manchin (D-inc) 54%
David McKinley (R) 34%

Joe Manchin (D-inc) 58%
Alex Mooney (R) 28%

Evan Jenkins (R) 43%
Carte Goodwin (D-inc) 31%

Patrick Morrisey (R) 43%
Carte Goodwin (D-inc) 39%

David McKinley (R) 42%
Carte Goodwin (D-inc) 36%

Carte Goodwin (D-inc) 41%
Alex Mooney (R) 31%

This poll was done November 16-17 among 500 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 3:02 pm
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November 27, 2016

Sunday Morning Thread

I see our new four-year-old President-Elect is back at it again this morning with this hour-long Twitter rant:

2016 Week 12 NFL Picks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look back at how I did in Week 11.

2016 WEEK 11 WINNING PICKS
Carolina beat New Orleans
N.Y. Giants beat Chicago
Minnesota beat Arizona
Dallas beat Baltimore
Indianapolis beat Tennessee
Buffalo beat Cincinnati
Pittsburgh beat Cleveland
Detroit beat Jacksonville
Washington Beat Green Bay
Seattle beat Philadelphia
New England beat San Francisco
Oakland beat Houston

2016 WEEK 11 LOSING PICKS
Kansas City lost to Tampa Bay
L.A. Rams lost to Miami

A 12-2 week bring my season record to 94-67 and moved me back up into 6th place among the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
KC Joyner 99-62
Matt Bowen 97-64
Mike Golic 97-64
Seth Wickersham 97-64
Kevin Seifert 96-65
ME 94-67
Merrill Hoge 93-68
Adam Caplan 93-68
Ron Jaworski 93-68
Dan Graziano 92-69

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 12 of the NFL season.

2016 WEEK 12 NFL PICKS
Minnesota at Detroit
Washington at Dallas
Pittsburgh at Indianapolis
N.Y. Giants at Cleveland
San Francisco at Miami
L.A. Rams at New Orleans
Tennessee at Chicago
Jacksonville at Buffalo
Arizona at Atlanta
Cincinnati at Baltimore
San Diego at Houston
Seattle at Tampa Bay
Carolina at Oakland
New England at N.Y. Jets
Kansas City at Denver
Green Bay at Philadelphia

Finally back to the full 16-game week.

Posted by Dave at 8:40 am
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November 23, 2016

Donald Trump Becoming More Favorable Since Election

The problem with websites like this one that focus on election polls is once it is over, there isn’t much to talk about it. We have seen a few polls showing Donald Trump becoming more favorable since Election Day. Here are the three most recent polls that have come out showing Trump nearly at break even after spending almost the entire election season with unfavorable ratings above 60%.

WHO FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
Quinnipiac 44% 46%
CNN/ORC 47% 50%
Politico/Morning Consult 46% 46%
TWITTER
MARIST COLLEGE
SURVEY USA
    WASHINGTON POST - POLITICS
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