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August 1, 2014

Polls From FL, IL, CT

Rasmussen Reports has two gubernatorial polls out today and we will start with Florida where they show Rick Scott just ahead of Charlie Crist.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Rasmussen)
Rick Scott (R-inc) 42%
Charlie Crist (D) 41%

This poll was done July 29-30 among 900 likely voters. Meanwhile in Illinois, Bruce Rauner is up on Pat Quinn by 5%.

GOVERNOR – ILLINOIS (Rasmussen)
Bruce Rauner (R) 44%
Pat Quinn (D-inc) 39%

This poll was done July 29-30 among 750 likely voters. In Connecticut, Vox Populi Polling shows Dannel Malloy with a 1% edge on Tom Foley.

GOVERNOR – CONNECTICUT (VPP)
Dannel Malloy (D-inc) 35%
Tom Foley (R) 34%
Pelto Jonathan (I) 3%

This poll was done July 27-28 among 550 likely voters.

Open Thread FRIDAY!

Why is it politicians feel the need to inject themselves into EVERYTHING?

Happy Friday!

July 31, 2014

Hagan Leads Tillis By 3% in NC, Snyder Leads Schauer By 3% in MI

Gravis Marketing has just dumped out a new poll for the state of North Carolina that shows Kay Hagan holding a 3% lead over Thom Tillis.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Gravis)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 44%
Thom Tillis (R) 41%

This poll was done July 22-27 among 1380 likely voters. Rasmussen Reports has given us a new poll for the state of Michigan that shows Rick Snyder’s lead over Mark Schauer at 3%.

GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (Rasmussen)
Rick Snyder (R-inc) 45%
Mark Schauer (D) 425

This poll was done July 28-29 among 750 likely votes.

Hillary Leads GOP in OH, Pryor Leads Cotton By 2% in AR

More from Quinnipiac University in the state of Ohio where Hillary holds leads over the four Republicans included in the poll.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Quinnipiac)
Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
John Kasich (R) 40%

Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Rand Paul (R) 42%

Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
Jeb Bush (R) 37%

Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Chris Christie (R) 37%

This poll was done July 24-28 among 1366 registered voters. Yesterday, a poll done by left-leaning Anzalone Liszt Grove Research claiming Mark Pryor is ahead in Arkansas was released.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (ALGR)
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 48%
Tom Cotton (R) 46%

This poll was done July 20-24 among 600 likely voters.

July 30, 2014

Perdue Leads Nunn By 9% in GA, Peters Leads Land By 6% in MI

Vox Populi Polling is back and they have put out their view of the US Senate race in Georgia and they have David Perdue with a 9% lead over Michelle Nunn.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (VPP)
David Perdue (R) 49%
Michelle Nunn (D) 40%

This poll was done July 27-28 among 624 likely voters. It does not appear the gubernatorial ace was included in this poll. Meanwhile, Rasmussen Reports has a new poll from Michigan that shows Terri Lynn Land still struggling to gain on Gary Peters.

US SENATE – MICHIGAN (Rasmussen)
Gary Peters (D) 45%
Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%

This poll was done July 28-29 among 750 likely voters Peters is not running away with the race yet, but Land just can;t seem to gain ground and has been stuck in this low-to-mid single-digit deficit for quite a while now.

Kasich Leads FitzGerald By 12% in OH

Remember way back to a time when people thought John Kasich was a lame duck? Quinnipiac University’s latest poll has him now leading the gubernatorial race in Ohio by 12%.

GOVERNOR – OHIO (Quinnipiac)
John Kasich (R-inc) 48%
Ed FitzGerald (D) 36%

This poll was done July 24-28 among 1366 registered voters.

July 29, 2014

Cotton Leads Pryor By 2% in AR

Some good news for Republicans in Arkansas where we have a second poll this week to show Tom Cotton with a lead over Mark Pryor. This time it comes from Talk Business and Hendrix College.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (Hendrix)
Tom Cotton (R) 44%
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 42%

This poll was done July 22-25 among 1780 likely voters.

Rauner Leads By 14% Over Quinn in IL

Reboot Illinois paid We Ask America to produce a poll for the gubernatorial race in Illinois and it shows Bruce Rauner opening up a 14% lead over Pat Quinn.

GOVERNOR – ILLINOIS (WAA)
Bruce Rauner (R) 47%
Pat Quinn (D) 33%

This poll was done July 28th among 1087 likely voters.

July 28, 2014

McConnell Leads Grimes By 2% in KY

Some good news tonight from Survey USA where Mitch McConnell holds a 2% over Alison Lundergan Grimes in the hotly contested race in Kentucky.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Survey USA)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45%

This poll was done July 18-23 among 604 likely voters.

Carter Leads Deal in GA

We did get more of that poll from Rasmussen Reports that they did in Georgia yesterday.

GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
Jason Carter (D) 45%
Nathan Deal (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done July 23-24 among 750 likely voters. Something simple to start with on Monday. I am still trying to figure out how to handle the YouGov data that was discussed in the last post as well as elsewhere.

US SENATE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 49 4
DEM 49 -4
IND 2 0

US HOUSE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 238 4
DEM 197 -4