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August 15, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 12% Nationally, Warren Dominates Dems in IA

Donald Trump’s favorite cable new network, Fox News, is showing him no love in their latest poll.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Fox News)
Joe Biden (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 38%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 37%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

Kamala Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Fox News)
Joe Biden 31%
Elizabeth Warren 20%
Bernie Sanders 10%
Kamala Harris 8%
Cory Booker 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Pete Buttigieg 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Beto O’Roukle 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done August 11-13 among 1013 registered voter Meanwhile, Change Research has a new poll out of Iowa claiming Elizabeth Warren has opened up a double-digit lead while Biden maintains a double-digit lead in South Carolina.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Change)
Elizabeth Warren 28%
Joe Biden 17%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Pete Buttigieg 13%
Kamala Harris 8%
Cory Booker 3%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Everyone Else 2% or less

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (Change)
Joe Biden 36%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Kamala Harris 12%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Cory Booker 4%
Everyone Else 2% or less

The IA poll was done August 9-11 while the SC poll was done August 9-12 among Democratic caucus or primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:24 pm
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August 14, 2019

Sanders Leads Biden By 6% in NH

Yesterday, Gravis Marketing released a new poll for the state of New Hampshire that shows Bernie Sanders leading Joe Biden by 6% with Elizabeth Warren the only other Democrat in double digits.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Gravis)
Bernie Sanders 21%
Joe Biden 15%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Tulsi Gabbard 5%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Andrew Yang 4%
Tom Steyer 4%
Julian Castro 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Everyone Lese 1% or less

This poll was done August 2-6 among 250 Democratic primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:24 pm
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August 9, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 8% in NC

Survey USA was busy earlier this week releasing new polls for the nation as well as in California and North Carolina.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Survey USA)
Joe Biden (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Bernie Sanders (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Kamala Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 42%

PRESIDENT – CALIFORNIA (Survey USA)
Joe Biden (D) 61%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 27%

Bernie Sanders (D) 62%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 29%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 58%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Kamala Harris (D) 59%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 30%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Bernie Sanders (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%
Kamala Harris (D) 43%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 41%

All three polls were done August 1-5 among 5459 registered voters in the national poll, 2814 registered voters in California, and 2113 registered voters in North Carolina.

August 8, 2019

Biden Leads Warren By 9% in IA

A few primary polls were out today, but the most important one comes from Monmouth University and the Democratic caucuses in Iowa.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 28%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Kamala Harris 11%
Bernie Sanders 9%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Amy Klobuchar 3%
Tom Steyer 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done August 1-4 among 401 likely caucus goers.

August 6, 2019

Biden Leads Sanders By 4% in NH

A second poll this morning from the state of New Hampshire from The Boston Globe and Suffolk University that shows Joe Biden with a small lead over Bernie Sanders and only Elizabeth Warren joining them in double digits.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Suffolk/UNH)
Joe Biden 21%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Kamala Harris 8%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Michael Bennet 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done August 1-4 among 500 likely primary voters.

Biden/Sanders Leads Trump in TX

The Dallas Morning News and Emerson College released a new poll this morning showing Democrats could pick off the state of Texas should either Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders be nominated.

PRESIDENT – TEXAS – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson/DMN)
Joe Biden 28%
Beto O’Rourke 19%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Pete Buttigieg 7%
Kamala Harris 5%
Andrew Yang 3%
Cory Booker 2%
Julian Castro 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – TEXAS (Emerson/DMN)
Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 48%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 48%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 53%
Julian Castro (D) 47%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 54%
Kamala Harris (D) 46%

This poll was done August 1-3 among 1033 registered voters and “about” 400 Democratic primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:33 am
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August 4, 2019

Sanders Leads Trump By 1% Nationally

Rasmussen Reports released a new poll on Friday showing Bernie Sanders leading Donald Trump by a single percentage point nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Bernie Sanders (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

This poll was done July 21-August 1 among 5000 likely voters.

July 30, 2019

Biden Leads Three More National Polls By Double Digits

A month ago, Joe Biden was falling and on the verge of losing his front runner status. A month later, it seems that Joe Biden is once again the inevitable nominee for the Democrats. Adding to yesterday’s poll from Quinnipiac University we have polls from Emerson College, Politico and Morning Consult, and The Hill and HarrisX that all give Biden a double-digit lead in the Democratic primary race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Kamala Harris 11%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Andrew Yang 2%
Tom Steyer 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Hill/HarrisX)
Joe Biden 34%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Kamala Harris 9%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Politico/MC)
Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Elizabeth Warren 13%
Kamala Harris 12%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Cory Booker 3%
Andrew Yang 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

At the General Election level, only Emerson gave us their numbers and it shows a closer race between Trump and the Democrats than recent other polls.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 50%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Kamala Harris (D) 48%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 48%

The Emerson poll was done July 27-29 among 1233 registered voters and 520 Democratic primary voters. The Politico/Morning Consult poll was done July 22-28 among registered voters. The Hill and HarrisX poll was done July 27-28 among 444 registered primary voters.

July 29, 2019

Biden Regains Domination of Dem Field Nationally

Quinnipiac University has released a new national poll that shows what most other polls of late have shown, Joe Biden regaining his footing among Democrats and Kamala Harris and Bernie Sanders moving backwards.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden 34%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Kamala Harris 12$
Bernie Sanders 11%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done July 25-28 among 579 registered primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 7:29 pm
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July 27, 2019

Edwards (D) Leads Gov Race in LA, Reeves (R) Leads Gov Race in MS

There has not been a lot of polling for the gubernatorial races that will be occurring later this year, so we should take advantage of posting the results when they come in. The website The Hayride released anew poll done by a firm called Multi-Quest that shows Democratic incumbent Jon Bell Edwards hold a decent lead in both the jungle primary and the runoff.

GOVERNOR – LOUISIANA (Multi-Quest)
Jon Bel Edwards (D-inc) 44%
Ralph Abraham (R) 35%
Eddie Rispone (R) 6%
Gary Landrieu (I) 4%

GOVERNOR – LOUISIANA – RUNOFF (Multi-Quest)
Jon Bel Edwards (D-inc) 49%
Ralph Abraham (R) 39%

Jon Bel Edwards (D-inc) 49%
Eddie Rispone (R) 29%

This poll was done July 19-21 among 601 registered voters. Meanwhile in Mississippi, we found out the results of the NBC News/Survey Monkey poll that was released last week specific for the gubernatorial race for this year.

GOVERNOR – MISSISSIPPI (NBC News/SM)
Tate Reeves (R) 51%
Jim Hood (D) 42%

Bill Waller (R) 53%
Jim Hood (D) 41%

This poll was done July 2-16 among 1042 registered voters.

You can get the full rundown of the gubernatorial polls at The Hedgehog Report PollWatch pages for Louisiana and Mississippi.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS