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January 26, 2020

Biden Leads Democratic Field By 6% in IA

Contradicting the poll from yesterday from The New York Times showing Bernie Sanders with an 7% lead over Pete Buttigieg and an 8% lead over Joe Biden in Iowa, USA Today and Suffolk University are showing a completely different race claiming it is Joe Biden who has a 6% lead on his nearest Democratic challenger.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (USAT/Suffolk)
Biden 25%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 18%
Warren 13%
Klobuchar 6%
Everyone Else 3% or less

This poll was January 23-26 among 500 likely caucus goers.

Sanders Leads Two New Poll in NH, Also Leads in IA

CBS News and YouGov have released a new poll in Iowa that shows Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, and Pete Buttigieg taking the top three spots in next week’s Iowa caucuses.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Sanders 26%
Biden 25%
Buttigieg 22%
Warren 15%
Klobuchar 7%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done January 16th-23rd among 1401 likely voters. Meanwhile in New Hampshire, we have two new polls in the state of New Hampshire showing Bernie Sanders with a significant edge, one comes from NBC News and Marist College and one from CNN and the University of New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (NBC/Marist)
Sanders 22%
Buttigieg 17%
Biden 15%
Warren 13%
Klobuchar 10%
Gabbard 6%
Yang 5%
Steyer 3%
Everyone Else 2% or less

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CNN/UNH)
Sanders 25%
Biden 16%
Buttigieg 15%
Warren 12%
Klobuchar 6%
Gabbard 5%
Yang 5%
Steyer 2%
Everyone Else 2% or less

The NBC/Marist Poll was done January 20-23 among 1077 likely primary voters and the CNN/UNH poll was done January 15-23 among 516 likely primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 2:46 pm
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January 25, 2020

Sanders Leads Dem FIeld By 7% in IA

Hard to believe we are basically a little more than a week away before the caucuses in Iowa and we have a new poll from The New York Times and Siena College that shows the attacks on Bernie Sanders by his fellow candidates may be backfiring.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (NYT/Siena)
Bernie Sanders 25%
Pete Buttigieg 18%
Joe Biden 17%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Amy Klobuchar 8%
Tom Steyer 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Everyone Else 2% or less

Trump does lead all the Democrats in the General Election contest.

PRESIDENT – IOWA (NYT/Siena)
Trump (R-inc) 45%
Buttigieg (D) 44%

Trump (R-inc) 46%
Biden (D) 44%

Trump (R-inc) 46%
Klobuchar (D) 41%

Trump (R-inc) 47%
Warren (D) 42%

Trump (R-inc) 48%
Sanders (D) 42%

Trump (R-inc) 47%
Bloomberg (D) 39%

This poll was done January 20-23 among likely caucus goers and likely General Election voters.

January 21, 2020

Sanders With Slim Lead in NH

A scattered results from The Boston Globe and Suffolk University for the state of New Hampshire in the Democratic primary race.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (BG/SU)
Bernie Sanders 16%
Joe Biden 15%
Pete Buttigieg 12%
Elizabeth Warren 10%
Andrew yang 6%
Tulsi Gabbard 5%
Amy Klobuchar 5%
Tom Steyer 3%
Everyone Else 2% or less

This poll was done January 15-19 among 500 likely voters.

January 20, 2020

Biden Leads Dems in IA by 6%

We have a new poll that was done for Focus on Rural America that shows Joe Biden holding on to a 6% lead in the state of Iowa.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (FORA)
Joe Biden 24%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Pete Buttigieg 16%
Bernie Sander 14%
Amy Klobuchar 11%
Tom Steyer 4%
Andrew Yang 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done January 15-18 among 500 likely caucus goers.

Posted by Dave at 2:07 pm
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January 13, 2020

Biden Now Leads Dems in IA and NH

There were polls from Iowa (Monmouth UniversityMonmouth UniversityMonmouth University) and New Hampshire (Franklin Pierce University and The Boston Herald). That show Joe Biden might be finally taking control of this Democratic race as he now leads in both early states.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 24%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Pete Buttigieg 16%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Amy Klobuchar 8%
Cory Booker 4%
Tom Steyer 4%
Andrew Yang 3%
Everyone Else <3%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (FPU/Boston Herald)
Joe Biden 26%
Bernie Sanders 22%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Pete Buttigieg 17%
Michael Bloomberg 4%
Tulsi Gabbard 4%
Everyone Else <3%

The IA poll was done January 9-12 among 1033 likely caucus goers. The NH poll was done January 8-12 among 434 likely primary voters.

January 9, 2020

Buttigieg Jumps To Lead in NH

Yeah, I know, getting posts up regularly has been more difficult for me lately. But we are getting closer to some actual primary and caucus voting and today we got a new poll from Monmouth UniversityMonmouth UniversityMonmouth University for the state of New Hampshire that shows Pete Buttigieg surging to the from with Elizabeth Warren having the biggest drop since Monmouth’s most recent poll in September.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Monmouth)
Pete Buttigieg 20%
joe Biden 19%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Amy Klobuchar 6%
Tulsi Gabbard 4%
Tom Steyer 4%
Andrew Yang 3%
Michael Bennet 2%
Cory Booker 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done January 3-7 among 404 likely primary voters.

December 31, 2019

Biden Leads Trump in FL/VA, Trumps Leads All Other Dems

It has been a little while and I’ve stayed mostly away from politics but the nee year is upon us tomorrow and in honor of the Orange Bowl match up between Florida and Virginia, Mason-Dixon Polling released General Election polling for both states that shows if Democrats want to win in 2020, they may need to settle for Joe Biden as their nominee.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Mason-Dixon)
Joe Biden (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%
Bernie Sanders (D) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Elizabeth Warren 42% (D)

Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 45%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Mason-Dixon)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Bernie Sanders (D) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 45%

The FL poll was done December 11-16 and the VA poll was done December 12-16 among 625 registered voters in both states.

Happy New Year!

December 20, 2019

Buttigieg Leads Dem Field in IA

There was a new poll yesterday from Iowa State University that shows Pete Buttigieg leading the pack of four at the top of the Democratic caucuses in Iowa.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (ISU)
Pete Buttigieg 24%
Bernie Sanders 21%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Joe Biden 15%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Andrew Yang 3%
Cory Booker 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Tom Steyer 2%

This poll was done December 12-16 among 632 likely caucus goers

December 14, 2019

Biden Lead in SC Down to Single Digits

A couple days ago, The Post and Courier released a new poll for the Democratic primary in South Carolina that shows Joe Biden’s lead down to single digits in his supposed “firewall” state.

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (PAC)
Joe Biden 27%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Cory Booker 5%
Tom Steyer 5%
Tulsi Gabbard 4%
Michael Bloomberg 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done December 6-11 among 392 likely primary voters.

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