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    June 15, 2021

    McAuliffe Leads Youngkin By 4% in VA

    We have another new poll in the newly joined race for Governor in Virginia, this time from JMC Analytics, that shows Glenn Youngkin still holding Terry McAuliffe under 50%.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (WPA)
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 46%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 42%

    This poll was done June 9-12 among 550 likely voters.

    June 13, 2021

    McAuliffe Leads Youngkin By 2% in VA, Murphy Dominates Ciattarelli in NJ

    Hey look at this, an actual post with a poll. I figure now that the races in t0eh two gubernatorial races being held this year are now set, we should look ahead to the latest polling in the matchups in Virginia and New Jersey.

    I said it at the time in 2013, the Virginia Republican Party made a huge mistake when it nominated the extremist Ken Cuccinelli to take on Terry McAuliffe in the race for Governor. Terry McAuliffe was nothing more than a party hack at the time who should have been easy to defeat, but Republicans managed to choose the one Republican who had no chance of winning and sure enough, Cuccinelli lost. Now Terry McAuliffe can add former Governor to his resume as he is running for a second term (after sitting out a term per Virginia law). Fortunately Republicans may have found someone who can beat him this time in Glenn Youngkin if a new poll from WPA Intelligence is to be believed.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (WPA)
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 48%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 46%

    This poll was done June 2-6 among 506 likely voters. Meanwhile int eh other state that is having a gubernatorial election, sitting Democratic Governor Phil Murphy is well ahead of Republican nominee according to a new poll from Rutgers University.

    GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Rutgers)
    Phil Murphy (D-inc) 52%
    Jack Ciattarelli (R) 26%

    This poll was done May 21-29 among registered voters.

    June 7, 2021

    Another Open Thread

    We hit four figures in comments on the last post, so here is another one.

    I’ll get back to posting real polls at some point.

    May 25, 2021

    Open Thread

    I see we need a new thread

    May 14, 2021

    Kelly Leads GOP in AZ, Whitmer Leads GOP in MI, DeSantis Leads Dem in FL

    Catching up on polls that were released this week starting with a poll from earlier in the month from OH Predictive Insights that shows new Democratic US Senator Mark Kelly will be a tough challenge for Republicans to regain this seat.

    US SENATE – ARIZONA (OHPI)
    Mark Kelly (D_inc) 46%
    Mark Brnovich (R) 36%

    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 44%
    Michael McGuire (R) 35%

    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 47%
    Andy Biggs (R) 36%

    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 47%
    Kelly Ward (R) 36%

    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 46%
    Kari Lake (R) 35%

    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 43%
    Jack McCain (R) 29%

    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 45%
    Kimberly Yee (R) 35%

    This poll was done May 3-5 among 935 registered voters. Meanwhile in Florida, a new poll from Cherry Communications shows the current Governor Ron DeSantis with a healthy lead over three potential challengers.

    GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Cherry Communications)
    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 51%
    Charlie Crist (D) 41%

    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 51%
    Nikki Fried (D) 39%

    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 53%
    Val Demmings (D) 38%

    This poll was done April 30-May 8 among 602 registered voters. Finally in Michigan, we have a new poll from some outfit called Target Insyght showing the incumbent Governor of Michigan Gretchen Whitmer ahead of two potential Republican challengers.

    GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (Target Insyght)
    Gretchen Whitmer (D-inc) 48%
    James Craig (R) 42%

    Gretchen Whitmer (D-inc) 49%
    John James (R) 39%

    GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN – GOP PRIMARY (Target Insyght)
    John James 36%
    James Craig 21%

    This poll was done May 9-11 among 800 registered voters.

    May 7, 2021

    Newsom Holds Double-Digit Margin To Avoid Recall in CA

    We received a poll earlier in the week that shows despite the supposed unpopularity of Governor Gavin Newsom in California, he seems on track to keep his position if a new poll from Survey USA is to be believed.

    GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – RECALL GAVIN NEWSOM
    Yes 36%
    No 47%

    GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – RECALL ELECTION
    John Cox (R) 9%
    Caitlyn Jenner (R) 5%
    Richard Grenell (R) 5%
    Kevin Faulconer (R) 3%
    Daniel Mercuri (R) 3%
    John Moorlach (R) 3%
    Mike Cernovich (R) 3%
    Major Williams (R) 3%
    Dough Ose (R) 2%

    This poll was done April 30-May 2 among 642 registered voters.

    April 30, 2021

    DeSantis Trails Both Biden and Harris By Double Digits

    We received a new poll earlier in the week from Echelon Insights that shows the top Republican from the primary poll would trail either the current President or Vice President in a potential 2024 match up by double digits.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Echelon Insights)
    Joe Biden (D-inc) 45%
    Ron DeSantis (R) 28%

    Kamala Harris (D) 43%
    Ron DeSantis (R) 31%

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Echelon Insights)
    Ron DeSantis 20%
    Mike Pence 16%
    Donald Trump, Jr. 9%
    Ted Cruz 8%
    Nikki Haley 6%
    Mitt Romney 4%
    Marco Rubio 2%
    Tucker Carlson 2%
    Mike Pompeo 1%
    Josh Hawley 1%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Larry Hogan <1%
    Tom Cotton <1%
    Tim Scott <1%
    Greg Abbott <1%
    Dave Portnoy <1%
    Rick Scott <1%
    Ben Sasse 0%

    This poll was done April 16-23 among 1043 registered voters and 542 primary voters.

    April 25, 2021

    Three Polls show Biden Job Approval Just Above 50%

    We are close to the 100-day mark for Joe Biden and three polls from three of the major TV-news organizations, Fox News, ABC/Washington Post, and NBC/Wall Street Journal show a remarkably consistent job approval rating for Joe Biden across the three polls.

    PRESIDENT BIDEN – JOB APPROVAL RATING (ABC/WaPo)
    Approve 52%
    Disapprove 42%

    PRESIDENT BIDEN – JOB APPROVAL RATING (Fox News)
    Approve 54%
    Disapprove 43%

    PRESIDENT BIDEN – JOB APPROVAL RATING (NBC/WSJ)
    Approve 51%
    Disapprove 43%

    The Fox News and ABC/Washington Post polls were done April 18-21 among registered voters. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll was done April 17-20 among registered voters.

    April 19, 2021

    McConaughey Leads Abbott By Double Digits in TX

    I could not find any actual information on which party Actor Matthew McConaughey is a member of, but a new poll from The Dallas Morning News and University of Texas Tyler claims he would lead incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott by double digits.

    GOVERNOR – TEXAS (DMN/UTT)
    Matthew McConaughey (?) 45%
    Greg Abbott (R-inc) 33%

    This poll was done April 6-13 among 1126 registered voters.

    April 13, 2021

    Open Thread Tuesday

    I guess it is time for a new thread