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    May 7, 2021

    Newsom Holds Double-Digit Margin To Avoid Recall in CA

    We received a poll earlier in the week that shows despite the supposed unpopularity of Governor Gavin Newsom in California, he seems on track to keep his position if a new poll from Survey USA is to be believed.

    GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – RECALL GAVIN NEWSOM
    Yes 36%
    No 47%

    GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – RECALL ELECTION
    John Cox (R) 9%
    Caitlyn Jenner (R) 5%
    Richard Grenell (R) 5%
    Kevin Faulconer (R) 3%
    Daniel Mercuri (R) 3%
    John Moorlach (R) 3%
    Mike Cernovich (R) 3%
    Major Williams (R) 3%
    Dough Ose (R) 2%

    This poll was done April 30-May 2 among 642 registered voters.

    April 30, 2021

    DeSantis Trails Both Biden and Harris By Double Digits

    We received a new poll earlier in the week from Echelon Insights that shows the top Republican from the primary poll would trail either the current President or Vice President in a potential 2024 match up by double digits.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Echelon Insights)
    Joe Biden (D-inc) 45%
    Ron DeSantis (R) 28%

    Kamala Harris (D) 43%
    Ron DeSantis (R) 31%

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Echelon Insights)
    Ron DeSantis 20%
    Mike Pence 16%
    Donald Trump, Jr. 9%
    Ted Cruz 8%
    Nikki Haley 6%
    Mitt Romney 4%
    Marco Rubio 2%
    Tucker Carlson 2%
    Mike Pompeo 1%
    Josh Hawley 1%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Larry Hogan <1%
    Tom Cotton <1%
    Tim Scott <1%
    Greg Abbott <1%
    Dave Portnoy <1%
    Rick Scott <1%
    Ben Sasse 0%

    This poll was done April 16-23 among 1043 registered voters and 542 primary voters.

    April 25, 2021

    Three Polls show Biden Job Approval Just Above 50%

    We are close to the 100-day mark for Joe Biden and three polls from three of the major TV-news organizations, Fox News, ABC/Washington Post, and NBC/Wall Street Journal show a remarkably consistent job approval rating for Joe Biden across the three polls.

    PRESIDENT BIDEN – JOB APPROVAL RATING (ABC/WaPo)
    Approve 52%
    Disapprove 42%

    PRESIDENT BIDEN – JOB APPROVAL RATING (Fox News)
    Approve 54%
    Disapprove 43%

    PRESIDENT BIDEN – JOB APPROVAL RATING (NBC/WSJ)
    Approve 51%
    Disapprove 43%

    The Fox News and ABC/Washington Post polls were done April 18-21 among registered voters. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll was done April 17-20 among registered voters.

    April 19, 2021

    McConaughey Leads Abbott By Double Digits in TX

    I could not find any actual information on which party Actor Matthew McConaughey is a member of, but a new poll from The Dallas Morning News and University of Texas Tyler claims he would lead incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott by double digits.

    GOVERNOR – TEXAS (DMN/UTT)
    Matthew McConaughey (?) 45%
    Greg Abbott (R-inc) 33%

    This poll was done April 6-13 among 1126 registered voters.

    April 13, 2021

    Open Thread Tuesday

    I guess it is time for a new thread

    April 4, 2021

    Nelson Leads Johnson in WI By 4%

    Republicans may be on the verge of losing a US Senate seat in Wisconsin if a new poll from Change Research is to be believed. Democratic Candidate tom Nelson paid for a poll showing himself ahead of Republican incumbent Ron Johnson.

    US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Change Research)
    Tom Nelson (D) 48%
    Ron Johnson (R-inc) 44%

    GOVERNOR WISCONSIN (Change Research)
    Tony Evers (D-inc) 48%
    Rebecca Kleefisch (R) 43%

    This poll was done March 25-27 among 1723 registered voters.

    March 27, 2021

    DeSantis/Fried Tied in FL

    Ron DeSantis may have his hands full getting a second term in the state of Florida should Nikki Fried get the Democratic nomination according to a new poll from StPete Polls.

    GOVERNOR -FLORIDA (StPete Polls)
    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 45%
    Nikki Fried (D) 45%

    This poll was done March 22-24 among 1923 likely voters.

    March 23, 2021

    Amy Acton Stronger Than Tim Ryan in OH for Dems

    With the impending retirement of Republican US Senator in Ohio, Public Policy Polling has released a new poll for the potential replacements and it shows a lot of undecideds at this point.

    US SENATE – OHIO (PPP)

    Amy Acton (D) 42%
    Josh Mandel (R) 41%

    Amy Acton (D) 40%
    Jane Timken (R) 40%

    Amy Acton (D) 40%
    JD Vance (R) 38%

    Josh Mandel (R) 42%
    Tim Ryan (D) 38%

    Jane Timken (R) 41%
    Tim Ryan (D) 38%

    JD Vance (R) 39%
    Tim Ryan (D) 37%

    This poll was done March 18-19 among 700 likely voters.

    March 14, 2021

    Herschel Walker Leads Raphael Warnock in GA

    Looking ahead to 2022 and the Republican’s hopes of regaining at least one of the US Senate seats in Georgia, according to a new poll from The Trafalgar Group and Insider Advantage, the Republican Party’s best hope might be former NFL Running Back Herschel Walker.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (Trafalagr/IA)
    Herschel Walker (R) 48%
    Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%

    Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%
    Doug Collins (R) 45%

    Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%
    Kelly Loeffler (R) 41%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (Trafalagr/IA)
    Herschel Walker 33%
    Doug Collins 32%
    Kelly Loeffler 24%

    This poll was done March 7-9 among 1093 likely voters.

    March 9, 2021

    Yang Leads Another Democratic Primary Poll in NYC

    Yesterday we got another poll from Emerson College for the Democratic primary race for Mayor in New York City that shows Andrew Yang with a healthy lead.

    MAYOR – NEW YORK CITY – DEM PRIMARY (FA+CDA)
    Andrew Yang 32%
    Eric Adams 19%
    Maya Wiley 9%
    Scott Stringer 6%
    Kathryn Garcia 5%
    Dianne Morales 4%
    Shaun Donovan 4%
    Ray McGuire 3%
    Everyone Else 1% or less

    This poll was done March 4-6 among 644 likely Democratic primary voters. I wish I could find out who I saw tweet it out earlier today to give them credit but someone asked at what point do we actually start to believe our own eyes and what we see in the polls that Andrew Yang could become the next Mayor of New City. I remember distinctly many people never really believing Donald Trump could become the Republican nominee despite leading every poll figuring it was just a matter of time before he collapsed until he actually won it.