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    April 13, 2021

    Open Thread Tuesday

    I guess it is time for a new thread

    April 4, 2021

    Nelson Leads Johnson in WI By 4%

    Republicans may be on the verge of losing a US Senate seat in Wisconsin if a new poll from Change Research is to be believed. Democratic Candidate tom Nelson paid for a poll showing himself ahead of Republican incumbent Ron Johnson.

    US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Change Research)
    Tom Nelson (D) 48%
    Ron Johnson (R-inc) 44%

    GOVERNOR WISCONSIN (Change Research)
    Tony Evers (D-inc) 48%
    Rebecca Kleefisch (R) 43%

    This poll was done March 25-27 among 1723 registered voters.

    March 27, 2021

    DeSantis/Fried Tied in FL

    Ron DeSantis may have his hands full getting a second term in the state of Florida should Nikki Fried get the Democratic nomination according to a new poll from StPete Polls.

    GOVERNOR -FLORIDA (StPete Polls)
    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 45%
    Nikki Fried (D) 45%

    This poll was done March 22-24 among 1923 likely voters.

    March 23, 2021

    Amy Acton Stronger Than Tim Ryan in OH for Dems

    With the impending retirement of Republican US Senator in Ohio, Public Policy Polling has released a new poll for the potential replacements and it shows a lot of undecideds at this point.

    US SENATE – OHIO (PPP)

    Amy Acton (D) 42%
    Josh Mandel (R) 41%

    Amy Acton (D) 40%
    Jane Timken (R) 40%

    Amy Acton (D) 40%
    JD Vance (R) 38%

    Josh Mandel (R) 42%
    Tim Ryan (D) 38%

    Jane Timken (R) 41%
    Tim Ryan (D) 38%

    JD Vance (R) 39%
    Tim Ryan (D) 37%

    This poll was done March 18-19 among 700 likely voters.

    March 14, 2021

    Herschel Walker Leads Raphael Warnock in GA

    Looking ahead to 2022 and the Republican’s hopes of regaining at least one of the US Senate seats in Georgia, according to a new poll from The Trafalgar Group and Insider Advantage, the Republican Party’s best hope might be former NFL Running Back Herschel Walker.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (Trafalagr/IA)
    Herschel Walker (R) 48%
    Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%

    Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%
    Doug Collins (R) 45%

    Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%
    Kelly Loeffler (R) 41%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (Trafalagr/IA)
    Herschel Walker 33%
    Doug Collins 32%
    Kelly Loeffler 24%

    This poll was done March 7-9 among 1093 likely voters.

    March 9, 2021

    Yang Leads Another Democratic Primary Poll in NYC

    Yesterday we got another poll from Emerson College for the Democratic primary race for Mayor in New York City that shows Andrew Yang with a healthy lead.

    MAYOR – NEW YORK CITY – DEM PRIMARY (FA+CDA)
    Andrew Yang 32%
    Eric Adams 19%
    Maya Wiley 9%
    Scott Stringer 6%
    Kathryn Garcia 5%
    Dianne Morales 4%
    Shaun Donovan 4%
    Ray McGuire 3%
    Everyone Else 1% or less

    This poll was done March 4-6 among 644 likely Democratic primary voters. I wish I could find out who I saw tweet it out earlier today to give them credit but someone asked at what point do we actually start to believe our own eyes and what we see in the polls that Andrew Yang could become the next Mayor of New City. I remember distinctly many people never really believing Donald Trump could become the Republican nominee despite leading every poll figuring it was just a matter of time before he collapsed until he actually won it.

    March 7, 2021

    Trump Dominates GOP Field for 2024

    We have a new poll from Fabrizio Lee and Associates that shows Republicans still quite keen on Donald Trump being their standard bearer although it is only now a shade over 50%. Without Trump in the mix, it is his former lieutenant who holds a small lead over the current Governor of Florida.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Fabrizio Lee)
    Donald Trump 51%
    Mike Pence 9%
    Ron DeSantis 7%
    Nikki Haley 6%
    Mitt Romney 5%
    Ted Cruz 3%
    Marco Rubio 2%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    Larry Hogan 1%
    Josh Hawley 1%
    Mike Pompeo 1%
    Chris Christie 0%
    Tim Scott 0%
    Rick Scott 0%

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Fabrizio Lee)
    Mike Pence 19%
    Ron DeSantis 17%
    Ted Cruz 13%
    Nikki Haley 8%
    Mitt Romney 5%
    Kristi Noem 4%
    Mike Pompeo 4%
    Marco Rubio 4%
    Josh Hawley 2%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    Larry Hogan 1%
    Tim Scott 1%
    Rick Scott 1%
    Chris Christie 1%

    This poll was done February 20-March 2 among 1264 likely Republican primary voters. My candidate will have some work to do to get out of the 1%-land.

    February 28, 2021

    Sununu Leads Hassan in NH for 2022 US Senate Race

    We have a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows Republicans could have a chance of picking up a much needed US Senate seat in 2022 if Chris Sununu is willing to run for the US Senate in New Hampshire and, more importantly, Republican primary voters are willing to give him the nomination despite his willingness to mildly criticize Trump about January 6th insurrection.

    US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
    Chris Sununu (R) 48%
    Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 46%

    Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 48%
    Kelly Ayotte (R) 43%

    Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 52%
    Don Bolduc (R) 39%

    Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 53%
    Corey Lewandowski (R) 34%

    This poll was done February 18-22 among 1676 likely General Election voters.

    February 21, 2021

    Trump Dominates GOP Field for 2024, Trump Jr In 3rd place.

    This is a few days old but I need something for a new post. We have a new national 2024 primary poll from Morning Consult and Politico that shows Republicans still can’t seem to move on from the man who cost them the Presidency and Congress and thereby wish to be in the minority for year to come.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (MC/Politico)
    Donald Trump 53%
    Mike Pence 12%
    Donald Trump Jr. 6%
    Nikki Haley 6%
    Mitt Romney 4%
    Ted Cruz 4%
    Marco Rubio 2%
    Mike Pompeo 2%
    Josh Hawley 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    Tim Scott 1%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Larry Hogan 1%
    Rick Scott 0%

    This poll was done February 14-15 among 645 Republican primary voters.

    February 11, 2021

    Yang Leads Dem Primary Race in NYC By Double Digits

    Someone pointed out on Twitter that we are now over three weeks since Joe Biden became President and yet look what name is still dominating the political news day after day. I don’t even need to say it.

    With the 2020 election finally fading away, we can start looking ahead and yesterday we got a new poll from Fontas Advisors and Core Decision Analytics showing none other than Andrew Yang with a dominating lead in the Democratic primary race for mayor in New York City.

    MAYOR – NEW YORK CITY – DEM PRIMARY (FA+CDA)
    Andrew Yang 28%
    Eric Adams 17%
    Scott Stringer 13%
    Shaun Donovan 8%
    Maya Wiley 8%
    Kathryn Garcia 2%
    Ray McGuire 2%
    Dianne Morales 2%

    This poll was done January 20-25 among 842 likely Democratic primary voters. Other than Yang, I have no earthly idea who any of the other candidates listed even are.