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    May 19, 2022

    Kemp Dominating Perdue in GA, Walker Cruising to Nomination

    Fox News has a new poll out that shows while Donald Trump’s choice for the Republican nomination in Georgia is cruising to the being picked by the voters, his choice for Governor, David Perdue, is getting absolutely crushed.

    GOVERNOR – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (Fox News)
    Brian Kemp 60%
    David Perdue 28%
    Kandiss Taylor 6%
    Catherine Davis 1%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (Fox News)
    Herschel Walker 66%
    Gary Black 8%
    Latham Saddler 5%
    Kelvin King 3%
    Josh Clark 2%
    Jonathan McColumn 1%

    These polls were done May 12-16 among 1004 primary voters.

    May 17, 2022

    Oz Clings To Lead Over Barnette in PA

    A new poll out this morning from The Trafalgar Group has Mehmet Oz clinging to a two-percentage-point lead over second-place Kathy Barnette while David McCormick seems to be dropping further behind in third place.

    US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA – GOP PRIMARY (Trafalgar)
    Mehmet Oz 29%
    Kathy Barnette 27%
    Dave McCormick 22%
    Jeff Bartos 7%
    Carla Sands 7%
    George Bochetto 2%
    Sean Gale 2%

    This poll was done May 14-16 among 1195 likely primary voters.

    May 15, 2022

    Oz Tops Three-Way Race for GOP Primary in PA

    The most important primary electi0n happening this week might be in Pennsylvania and there was a poll last week that came out from Fox 29 and Insider Advantage that shows a tight three-way race between the top three Republicans for the right to take on the presumed democratic nominee John Fetterman.

    US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA – GOP PRIMARY (IA/Fox 29)
    Mehmet Oz 23%
    Kathy Barnette 21%
    Dave McCormick 19%
    Jeff Bartos 5%
    Carla Sands 5%
    George Bochetto 1%
    Sean Gale 1%

    This poll was done May 7-9 among 750 likely primary voters. There was also news out today that Fetterman, which was acknowledged by Fetterman today, had a stroke this past Friday.

    May 3, 2022

    Open Thread Tuesday – Supreme Court

    If I can’t put up an open thread for the news today, then I might as well close up shop….

    April 18, 2022

    Kemp Dominates GOP Field, Raffensberger Trails in GA

    A mixed bag for candidates endorsed by Donald Trump in the state of Georgia where his favored gubernatorial candidate trails badly to incumbent Brian Kemp. On the flipside, his chosen candidate for Secretary of State, Jody Hice, holds a large lead over incumbent Brad Raffensberger. Here is the latest poll from Landmark Communications.

    GOVERNOR – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (landmark)
    Brian Kemp (inc) 52%
    David Perdue 28%
    Kandiss Taylor 10%
    Catherine Davis 1%

    SEC OF STATE – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (landmark)
    Jody Hice 35%
    Brad Raffensperger (inc) 18%
    David Belle Isle 10%
    TJ Hudson 3%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (Landmark)
    Herschel Walker 64%
    Gary Black 9%
    Lantham Saddler 5%
    Kelvin King 4%
    Josh Clark 3%
    Jon McColumn 0%

    This poll was done April 9-10 among 660 likely primary voters. I do wonder, if given a choice, which incumbent Trump would rather see go down. It would also be curious to know whom Democrats and Stacey Abrams would rather face for Governor, an emboldened Kemp who can play the “I beat Trump” card in a General Election or a Trump loyalist?

    April 5, 2022

    Budd Best Against Beasley in NC

    We have a new poll from Emerson College for the state of North Carolina that shows Republicans may have to pick the right candidate if they hope to hold the seat of outgoing US Senator Richard Burr.

    US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Emerson)
    Ted Budd (R) 50%
    Cheri Beasley (D) 43%

    Mark Walker (R) 47%
    Cheri Beasley (D) 42%

    Marjorie Eastman (R) 44%
    Cheri Beasley (D) 44%

    Cheri Beasley (D) 43%
    Pat McCrory (R) 41%

    This poll was done April 2-4 among 1047 registered voters.

    March 22, 2022

    Trump Leads Biden Nationally By 3%

    Time for my biweekly check-in. We have a new poll from Emerson College that came out today that has Donald trump ahead of Joe Biden by 3%.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
    Donald Trump (R) 45%
    Joe Biden (D-inc) 425

    It may have been this line form the article that jumped out at me even more.

    Former President Trump has a nearly 12-point favorability advantage over Biden: 59% of voters say they are somewhat or very favorable of Trump, compared with 47% who are somewhat or very favorable of Biden.

    This poll was done March 18-20 among 1023 registered voters.

    March 8, 2022

    Walker Leads Warnock By 4% in GA, Trump Dominates Biden

    Okay, back to polling. There is a new poll from Blueprint Polling out of the state of Georgia which has Republican Herschel Walker up by 4% over incumbent Raphael Warnock while Donald Trump would easily win a rematch in a state he lost in 2020.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (Blueprint Polling)
    Herschel Walker (R-inc) 49%
    Raphael Warnock (D) 45%

    PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (Blueprint Polling)
    Donald Trump (R) 50%
    Joe Biden (D-inc) 36%

    This poll was done March 2-8 among 662 likely voters.

    February 24, 2022

    Open Thread

    I was going to post a new poll but it seems a little out of place with what is going on in Ukraine….

    February 8, 2022

    Hogan Will Not Run for US Senate in MD

    From WBAL:

    Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan announced Tuesday that he will not run for the U.S. Senate, rebuffing an aggressive recruitment push from Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and other Republicans who saw the term-limited governor as the GOP’s best chance to win in the deep-blue state.

    Hogan announced his decision during an unrelated afternoon press conference in the governor’s mansion, explaining that he could not finish his term as governor effectively and run for the Senate at the same time.

    “I will not be a candidate for the United States Senate,” Hogan told reporters. “I sincerely appreciate all the people who have been encouraging me to consider it.”

    That’s too bad as we do need more Republicans like Larry Hogan as the face of the party. But as popular and great a Governor as he has been for Maryland, even I would be skeptical he could win a statewide federal race as a Republican in Maryland, especially against an incumbent Democratic US Senator who hasn’t done much to really anger voters enough that I see them crossing party lines to vote against him and or Hogan.

    While Hogan was no doubt a great candidate in 2014 and has been a popular Governor since being elected, even I can admit he did have an advantage of taking on a terrible Democratic candidate in 2014 who took the race completely for granted coupled with it being a GOP wave year in 2014. Then four years later, with Hogan holding approval ratings close to 70%, Democrats basically conceded defeat before the General Election began by nominating a gadfly candidate while most of their top potential candidates sat out knowing the race would be easier with an open seat instead of a popular incumbent.